Hutto Market Heat Score: What the Data Says in September
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-15
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $298,000
104 Twins TRL, Hutto TX 78634 · MLS #7223085
Listed at $260,999, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,867 sq ft. Listed 10% below the ALEX valuation; 11% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 16% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185913407/104-Twins-TRL-Hutto-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $298,000 to $338,000
110 Babblebrook WAY, Hutto TX 78634 · MLS #6486450
Listed at $329,900, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,687 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; 28% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 8% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184018526/110-Babblebrook-WAY-Hutto-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $338,000 to $390,000
133 Brabham LOOP, Hutto TX 78634 · MLS #8241284
Listed at $386,999, 4 bed, 3 bath, 3,171 sq ft. Listed 6% below the ALEX valuation; 26% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 11% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185878169/133-Brabham-LOOP-Hutto-TX
Upper quartile: $390,000 and up
718 Hereford LOOP, Hutto TX 78634 · MLS #6213136
Listed at $399,999, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,547 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; 12% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 9% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1178458656/718-Hereford-LOOP-Hutto-TX
Key figures · Hutto · September 2026
- 95 homes sold in Hutto in September 2026 (up 55.7% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $319,900 (down 6.5% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $168.
- Median days on market: 59.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 96.7%.
- 455 homes for sale now, about 4.1 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, September 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Is the Hutto market cooling down? The latest data shows a distinct shift in momentum for September 2026. ALEX Intelligence calculated a Market Heat Score based on an index combining median days on market, sale-to-list price ratios, inventory levels, and listing reductions. This score reflects a transition from a seller-favorable environment toward a more balanced or buyer-leaning dynamic.
Median closed prices in Hutto fell to $319,900, down 6.5% compared to September 2025 and 4.5% lower than the prior month. The median price per square foot also declined by 3.4% year-over-year to $168. Meanwhile, homes stayed on the market longer, with median days on market rising to 59 days, a 31.1% increase from the same time last year. This elongation of the sales cycle is a primary driver in the reduced heat score.
Inventory levels have also shifted, with 4.1 months of supply available at current sales rates. While this remains below the historical threshold for a pure buyer's market, it represents a significant increase in choice compared to previous years. The share of homes selling below original list price dropped to 73.7%, indicating that while fewer sellers are accepting full asking prices, the pressure to reduce has eased slightly from last year's 86.9%.
The composite index weighs these factors equally: days on market, sale ratio, inventory, and price reductions. A score in the low-to-mid range suggests a market where buyers have more leverage than in previous years, but where sellers still retain some pricing power depending on the specific subdivision and property condition. This data-driven assessment replaces speculation with observed activity across 95 closed sales.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker.
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Director, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al.
Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB
Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733
Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, September 2026, n=95
Cover photo: Downtown Hutto by KevinMoralesRealtor, CC0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










