Hays County: New Listings Outpace Closings in September
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-14
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $286,000
116 Soapstone PASS, Maxwell TX 78656 · MLS #5169365
Listed at $185,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,568 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; 18% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 8% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182583299/116-Soapstone-PASS-Maxwell-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $286,000 to $375,000
145 Mad Pupper DR, Buda TX 78610 · MLS #3216231
Listed at $334,016, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,193 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; 18% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 11% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182951550/145-Mad-Pupper-DR-Buda-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $375,000 to $555,000
277 Basket Flower LOOP, Kyle TX 78640 · MLS #4445813
Listed at $489,900, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,488 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; 6% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 16% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183020863/277-Basket-Flower-LOOP-Kyle-TX
Upper quartile: $555,000 and up
954 Covered Bridge DR, Driftwood TX 78619 · MLS #9691218
Listed at $1,500,000, 6 bed, 7 bath, 6,108 sq ft. Listed 19% below the ALEX valuation; 20% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 25% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184134730/954-Covered-Bridge-DR-Driftwood-TX
Key figures · Hays County · September 2026
- 322 homes sold in Hays County in September 2026 (down 22.8% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $372,495 (up 2.1% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $185.
- Median days on market: 56.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 94.4%.
- 1,949 homes for sale now, about 4.9 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, September 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
In September, Hays County saw 441 new listings enter the market while 322 homes completed their sale. This gap between fresh supply and finished transactions defines the current balance of inventory. ALEX Intelligence analyzed the dual-axis trend of new listings versus closings to quantify this shift in availability.
The volume of new activity reached 441, a significant increase from the 414 new listings recorded in August. Meanwhile, closed sales dropped to 322, down 24.6% from the prior month and 22.8% lower than September 2025. This divergence suggests that while more sellers are entering the market, buyer demand has softened relative to the previous year.
The median sale price rose to $372,495 across those 322 transactions, up 4.9% from August and 2.1% higher than last September. However, the time required to sell a home also increased, with the median days on market climbing to 56 days, a 9.8% rise from the prior month.
This dynamic creates a distinct supply gap where new inventory is accumulating faster than it is being absorbed by sales. For sellers, this means increased competition among listings. For buyers, the expanding pool of options provides more time to evaluate properties before making an offer. The data reflects a market transitioning toward greater balance as activity levels shift.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker.
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Director, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al.
Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB
Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733
Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales and listing activity, September 2026, n=322 closed, n=441 new listings
Cover photo: Blanco River, Hays County ("Hays - Hill Country 1") by CMBJ, CC BY-SA 2.5, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










