Guadalupe County Market Heat Score Analysis

Deal of the Week

Deal of the Week · 1416 PARKWOOD, Seguin TX 78155 · MLS #9598568 · Listed by Celina Ross Realty, LLC. ALEX valuation $246,000 is an ALEX Intelligence estimate, not an appraisal.

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $248,000 1416 PARKWOOD, Seguin TX 78155 · MLS #9598568 Listed at $240,990, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,796 sq ft. Listed 2% below the ALEX valuation; 10% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 2% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1189979521/1416-PARKWOOD-Seguin-TX Lower-middle quartile: $248,000 to $317,000 908 Gerardia CT, Seguin TX 78155 · MLS #7177822 Listed at $271,800, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,575 sq ft. Listed 1% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 6% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186542277/908-Gerardia-CT-Seguin-TX Upper-middle quartile: $317,000 to $419,000 1460 Astor CRK, New Braunfels TX 78130 · MLS #1517246 Listed at $320,995, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,496 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 35% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 3% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1176184821/1460-Astor-CRK-New-Braunfels-TX Upper quartile: $419,000 and up 230 Turtle LN, Seguin TX 78155 · MLS #4161365 Listed at $2,225,000, 5 bed, 5.5 bath, 4,301 sq ft. Listed 18% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 7% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183339322/230-Turtle-LN-Seguin-TX

Key figures · Guadalupe County · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026

87 homes sold in Guadalupe County in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (down 26.9% on a year earlier).

Median sale price: $320,000 (up 8.5% on a year earlier).

Median price per square foot: $167.

Median days on market: 43.

Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 95.4%.

115 homes for sale now, about 7.7 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.

Source: Unlock MLS, ABOR-listed sales only, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

What does a composite market heat score indicate for buyers and sellers in Guadalupe County? This index, calculated by ALEX Intelligence using weighted factors for days on market, sale-to-list ratio, inventory levels, and price reductions, reflects a market that has shifted significantly compared to the prior period. The score combines four key indicators: median days on market dropped 27.1% to 43 days compared to the previous six months, while the share of homes selling below original list price fell by 17.8%. Inventory remains elevated at 7.67 months, yet the speed of transactions has accelerated markedly. The median sale-to-list ratio improved to 95.4%, up from 94.4% previously, signaling stronger negotiation positions for sellers. This heat score is derived from 87 closed sales over the rolling six-month window ending September 30, 2026. While the market shows increased momentum with median prices rising 1.2% and closing ratios improving, the high inventory level prevents a full seller's market classification. The composite index suggests a balanced-to-slightly-favorable environment for sellers, driven by faster turnover and reduced price concessions rather than a shortage of supply. The data reflects ABOR-listed sales only, covering the specific activity within this partial coverage region. Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Coverage: most home sales in Guadalupe County are listed in another MLS, which ALEX does not receive yet. The figures in this post count only sales listed in Unlock MLS (ABOR), so they describe part of the local market, not all of it. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker. George Arnold Alexander III, MPA Director, ALEX Companies Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al. Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733 Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456 [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951