Guadalupe County Market Heat Score Rises in October
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-07
How fast is the Guadalupe County market moving compared to its recent history? The ALEX Intelligence Market Heat Score for this region reflects a shift toward more balanced conditions as properties sell faster than they did six months ago. This score is a composite index derived from four specific metrics: median days on market, the ratio of final sale price to original list price, the share of homes selling below asking, and current months of inventory.
In the rolling six-month window ending August 31, 2026, the median days on market dropped to 43 days, a 28.3% decrease from the prior period. Simultaneously, the list-to-sale ratio improved to 95.4%, indicating that buyers are paying closer to the original asking price than in previous months. The share of homes selling below the original list price fell by 15.2% compared to the prior period, while the median close price rose 9.8%.
Inventory remains a key factor, with 7.58 months of supply currently available. While this suggests a buyer-friendly environment relative to tight markets, the rapid decline in time on market signals increasing demand. The score is an ALEX Intelligence estimate derived from these specific data points and does not constitute a prediction of future price movements or a guarantee of individual property performance.
For sellers, the data suggests that pricing competitively can yield faster results, as 72.6% of recent sales closed below the original list price, though this figure has improved significantly from the prior period. Buyers face a market where properties are moving quicker, requiring decisive action to secure a home before inventory levels shift further.
Want more detail on Guadalupe County? Ask George for the full neighborhood report.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker.
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Director, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al.
Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB
Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733
Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
Source data: Unlock MLS, ABOR-listed sales only, rolling 6 months ending Aug 31, 2026, n=95 closed sales
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov




