Fredericksburg Market Pulse: Prices Drop in Rolling Six Months
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-06
Median home prices in Fredericksburg dropped to $560,000 across 41 closed sales in the rolling six months ending August 31, 2026. This represents a 27.5% decrease compared to the prior six-month period and a 23.3% decline from the same window last year. The market has also seen a shift in buyer behavior, with homes selling for 94.9% of their original list price, up from 90.5% previously.
The pace of sales has accelerated significantly. Median days on market fell to 55 days, down 32.9% from the prior period and still 22.2% higher than the same time last year. Price per square foot averaged $322, which is 9.0% lower than the previous six months and 23.9% below the year-ago level.
Homes are selling faster relative to their list prices, with only 85.4% of sales closing below the original asking price, compared to 95.8% in the prior period. The median home size sold was 1,884 square feet, down 16.7% from the previous six months and 18.6% lower than last year.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed these figures to highlight that while prices have corrected, the market is moving with greater speed and efficiency than in the prior half-year. The data reflects a period of adjustment where buyers are negotiating closer to list price, even as overall values retreat from their peaks.
Thinking of selling in Fredericksburg? Ask for a free ALEX Intelligence valuation of your home.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker.
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Director, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al.
Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB
Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733
Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
Source data: Unlock MLS, ABOR-listed sales only, rolling 6 months ending Aug 31, 2026, n=41
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov




