Comal County Market Heat Score: October 2026 Analysis

Deal of the Week

Deal of the Week · 728 Shoal Creek CRK, New Braunfels TX 78132 · MLS #2651557 · Listed by Via Realty Group LLC. ALEX valuation $257,000 is an ALEX Intelligence estimate, not an appraisal.

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $345,000 728 Shoal Creek CRK, New Braunfels TX 78132 · MLS #2651557 Listed at $248,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,686 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; 25% under the local price per sq ft. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1188900033/728-Shoal-Creek-CRK-New-Braunfels-TX Lower-middle quartile: $345,000 to $460,000 1802 Cattail DR, Canyon Lake TX 78133 · MLS #8604365 Listed at $435,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,861 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 6% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1161192228/1802-Cattail-DR-Canyon-Lake-TX Upper-middle quartile: $460,000 to $750,000 815 Serene Waters ST, Spring Branch TX 78070 · MLS #9440612 Listed at $624,900, 3 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,387 sq ft. Listed 6% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 9% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182609785/815-Serene-Waters-ST-Spring-Branch-TX Upper quartile: $750,000 and up 1514 Bolognese, New Braunfels TX 78132 · MLS #2897817 Listed at $1,095,000, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 3,002 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 14% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182556989/1514-Bolognese-New-Braunfels-TX

Key figures · Comal County · September 2026

24 homes sold in Comal County in September 2026 (down 20.0% on a year earlier).

Median sale price: $497,000 (up 13.0% on a year earlier).

Median price per square foot: $235.

Median days on market: 70.

Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 89.7%.

250 homes for sale now, about 7.0 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.

Source: Unlock MLS, ABOR-listed sales only, September 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

What does a market heat score of 42 mean for buyers and sellers in Comal County? This composite index, ranging from 0 to 100, combines four key indicators to gauge current market momentum. The score is calculated using equal weights for median days on market, the close-to-original list ratio, inventory levels, and the share of listings with price reductions. In September 2026, the market showed signs of cooling compared to recent months. Median days on market rose to 70 days, a 25% increase from the prior period and 16.7% higher than last year. This indicates properties are staying listed longer before going under contract. Simultaneously, the median close-to-original list ratio dropped to 89.7%, down 4% from the previous month. Only 75% of homes sold below their original list price, a significant shift from the 84.2% seen previously, suggesting buyers are gaining more negotiating leverage. Inventory levels also play a critical role in this score. With 250 active listings and 213 closed sales over the trailing six months, the market holds approximately 7 months of inventory. This supply level pushes the heat score lower, moving away from a seller-favorable environment. Additionally, the median sale price rose to $497,000, up 22% from the prior period, yet this price increase did not translate into faster sales or higher offer ratios. ALEX Intelligence calculated this composite index by normalizing each metric against historical baselines for the region. A score of 42 suggests a balanced to slightly buyer-favorable market where patience is rewarded. Buyers should note that while prices are up, the extended time on market and reduced price negotiation power for sellers create opportunities for strategic offers. This analysis relies on 24 closed sales in September 2026. The data reflects ABOR-listed sales only within Comal County. Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing. Coverage: most home sales in Comal County are listed in another MLS, which ALEX does not receive yet. The figures in this post count only sales listed in Unlock MLS (ABOR), so they describe part of the local market, not all of it. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker. George Arnold Alexander III, MPA Director, ALEX Companies Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al. Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733 Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456 [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951