Comal County: Deals That Fell Through in September
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-13
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $345,000
728 Shoal Creek CRK, New Braunfels TX 78132 · MLS #2651557
Listed at $248,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,686 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; 25% under the local price per sq ft.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1188900033/728-Shoal-Creek-CRK-New-Braunfels-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $345,000 to $460,000
1802 Cattail DR, Canyon Lake TX 78133 · MLS #8604365
Listed at $435,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,861 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 6% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1161192228/1802-Cattail-DR-Canyon-Lake-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $460,000 to $750,000
815 Serene Waters ST, Spring Branch TX 78070 · MLS #9440612
Listed at $624,900, 3 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,387 sq ft. Listed 6% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 9% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182609785/815-Serene-Waters-ST-Spring-Branch-TX
Upper quartile: $750,000 and up
1514 Bolognese, New Braunfels TX 78132 · MLS #2897817
Listed at $1,095,000, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 3,002 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 14% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182556989/1514-Bolognese-New-Braunfels-TX
Key figures · Comal County · September 2026
- 24 homes sold in Comal County in September 2026 (down 20.0% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $497,000 (up 13.0% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $235.
- Median days on market: 70.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 89.7%.
- 250 homes for sale now, about 7.0 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, ABOR-listed sales only, September 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
How many deals that started with a contract failed to reach the closing table in Comal County this month? The Back-on-Market Rate tracks contracts that fell through after being signed but before closing. While specific failure counts are not provided in the current dataset, the sharp drop in sales closing below original list prices suggests shifting dynamics for buyers and sellers.
In September 2026, only 19.6% fewer homes sold for less than their original asking price compared to the same month last year. This shift coincides with a 25% increase in median days on market, indicating that properties are staying listed longer before finalizing. ALEX Intelligence analyzed the contract-to-close cycle using available data points to highlight where deals may be stalling.
The median close-to-original list ratio dropped to 0.897, down 4% from the prior period and 5% from last year. This suggests that while fewer homes are selling below list price, those that do face longer negotiation periods or fall out of contract before closing. The market is showing signs of increased caution among buyers, with more time spent evaluating properties before committing to a final sale.
For sellers, this means listing prices must be realistic from the start to avoid deals falling through later in the process. Buyers should expect longer timelines and potentially more competitive negotiations as contracts face higher scrutiny. The data underscores the importance of understanding contract terms and market conditions before signing.
ALEX Intelligence estimate, not an appraisal.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Coverage: most home sales in Comal County are listed in another MLS, which ALEX does not receive yet. The figures in this post count only sales listed in Unlock MLS (ABOR), so they describe part of the local market, not all of it.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker.
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Director, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al.
Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB
Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733
Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
Source data: Unlock MLS, ABOR-listed sales only, September 2026, n=24
Cover photo: Guadalupe River State Park by Larry D. Moore, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










