Cedar Park Market Heat Score: A Cooling Trend in September

Deal of the Week

Deal of the Week · 1404 Piney Creek LN, Cedar Park TX 78613 · MLS #6052541 · Listed by JBGoodwin REALTORS NW. ALEX valuation $360,000 is an ALEX Intelligence estimate, not an appraisal.

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $380,000 1404 Piney Creek LN, Cedar Park TX 78613 · MLS #6052541 Listed at $335,000, 3 bed, 3 bath, 1,507 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; 8% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 10% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187127435/1404-Piney-Creek-LN-Cedar-Park-TX Lower-middle quartile: $380,000 to $492,000 1309 Rambling CV, Cedar Park TX 78613 · MLS #7492786 Listed at $465,000, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,150 sq ft. Listed 6% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 12% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185995326/1309-Rambling-CV-Cedar-Park-TX Upper-middle quartile: $492,000 to $635,000 801 Cashew LN, Cedar Park TX 78613 · MLS #8626978 Listed at $559,000, 5 bed, 2.5 bath, 3,059 sq ft. Listed 2% below the ALEX valuation; 14% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 6% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182523089/801-Cashew-LN-Cedar-Park-TX Upper quartile: $635,000 and up 1598 Tahoka Daisy DR, Cedar Park TX 78613 · MLS #1712635 Listed at $685,000, 4 bed, 3 bath, 3,413 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; 6% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 9% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182717844/1598-Tahoka-Daisy-DR-Cedar-Park-TX

Key figures · Cedar Park · September 2026

56 homes sold in Cedar Park in September 2026 (down 21.1% on a year earlier).

Median sale price: $436,969 (down 9.9% on a year earlier).

Median price per square foot: $209.

Median days on market: 51.

Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 94.5%.

208 homes for sale now, about 2.6 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.

Source: Unlock MLS, September 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

What does a median days on market of 51 mean for Cedar Park sellers in September? The ALEX Intelligence Market Heat Score calculated from current data indicates a shift toward buyer conditions as the composite index dropped to 42 out of 100. This score combines four key metrics: median days on market, sale-to-list price ratio, inventory levels, and price reduction frequency. In September, homes stayed on the market for an average of 51 days, a 50% increase from the prior month's 34 days. The median close price fell to $436,969, down 12.6% from August and 9.9% lower than September 2025. Only 85.7% of homes sold below their original list price, a slight rise from the prior month, while the average sale-to-list ratio dropped to 94.5%. Current inventory stands at 208 active listings, creating 2.65 months of supply based on the trailing monthly closing rate. This level suggests a transition from a seller's market toward balanced conditions. The ALEX Intelligence model weights these factors equally to generate the heat score, providing a single indicator of market momentum. While activity remains robust with 56 closed sales, the combination of longer listing times and reduced prices signals that buyers now have more leverage than in previous months. This data reflects actual market behavior rather than speculation, offering a clear view of current Cedar Park dynamics. Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker. George Arnold Alexander III, MPA Director, ALEX Companies Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al. Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733 Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456 [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951