Caldwell County: Where Prices Were Cut Most This Week
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-17
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $215,000
138 Talon DR, Luling TX 78648 · MLS #7607711
Listed at $198,500, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,426 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; 11% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 8% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182517710/138-Talon-DR-Luling-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $215,000 to $243,000
435 Dubai Ave, Maxwell TX 78656 · MLS #5363213
Listed at $240,999, 4 bed, 2 bath, 2,162 sq ft. Listed 12% below the ALEX valuation; 18% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 10% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1189440275/435-Dubai-Ave-Maxwell-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $243,000 to $340,000
1002 Golden ST, Maxwell TX 78656 · MLS #5894690
Listed at $267,160, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,246 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; 27% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 5% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186265719/1002-Golden-ST-Maxwell-TX
Upper quartile: $340,000 and up
661 Hidden Oak RD, Dale TX 78616 · MLS #6978163
Listed at $700,000, 3 bed, 3 bath, 1,920 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 20% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1178529237/661-Hidden-Oak-RD-Dale-TX
Key figures · Caldwell County · September 2026
- 32 homes sold in Caldwell County in September 2026 (down 15.8% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $269,490 (down 12.2% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $151.
- Median days on market: 46.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 92.5%.
- 249 homes for sale now, about 6.0 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, September 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Eighteen homes for sale in Caldwell County saw their list prices drop between October 11 and October 17, 2026. This represents 7.2% of the 249 active listings currently on the market. The median reduction was $8,500, which equals a 2.4% cut from the price before the adjustment. One seller reduced their asking price by 9.1%, the largest cut observed in this seven-day window.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed the latest price changes to identify where sellers are adjusting expectations. The median new list price for these reduced homes stands at $276,950. While some reductions were modest, others signaled a need to reposition properties quickly in a market where 32 homes closed in September with a median price of $269,490.
For buyers, this activity indicates increased negotiation leverage on specific listings. The data shows that price cuts are occurring across the active inventory, suggesting that sellers are responding to current demand conditions. These figures reflect only the most recent seven days and do not include homes listed before October 11 or those that have already sold.
Price just reduced (8 of 18 shown):
9765 FM 20, Lockhart, TX · MLS #7316724
Cut Oct 16 from $495,000 to $450,000, 9.1% lower. 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,856 sq ft. Listed by Land Unlimited.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187045433/9765-FM-20-Lockhart-TX
125 Glendale ST, Luling, TX · MLS #4417621
Cut Oct 16 from $354,900 to $325,000, 8.4% lower. 4 bed, 3 bath, 1,922 sq ft. Listed by Link Realty, LLC.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182517964/125-Glendale-ST-Luling-TX
1871 Bridle Path RD, Luling, TX · MLS #5000089
Cut Oct 12 from $499,000 to $459,000, 8.0% lower. 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,442 sq ft. Listed by All City Real Estate Ltd. Co.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1188599972/1871-Bridle-Path-RD-Luling-TX
502 Estuary DR, Maxwell, TX · MLS #2338391
Cut Oct 12 from $315,000 to $291,000, 7.6% lower. 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,198 sq ft. Listed by CastleRock Realty, LLC.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1172209476/502-Estuary-DR-Maxwell-TX
1127 Parr ST, Luling, TX · MLS #4594762
Cut Oct 15 from $179,000 to $169,000, 5.6% lower. 2 bed, 1 bath, 882 sq ft. Listed by Bell & Associates.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182914185/1127-Parr-ST-Luling-TX
1605 Century Oaks DR, Lockhart, TX · MLS #4090645
Cut Oct 15 from $270,000 to $260,000, 3.7% lower. 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,261 sq ft. Listed by StepStone Realty LLC.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1188548381/1605-Century-Oaks-DR-Lockhart-TX
313 Melody RD, Lockhart, TX · MLS #9901761
Cut Oct 13 from $440,900 to $424,900, 3.6% lower. 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,797 sq ft. Listed by Perry Homes Realty, LLC.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183372153/313-Melody-RD-Lockhart-TX
218 Summit DR, Lockhart, TX · MLS #8748754
Cut Oct 14 from $319,990 to $309,000, 3.4% lower. 5 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,556 sq ft. Listed by All City Real Estate Ltd. Co.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1175325046/218-Summit-DR-Lockhart-TX
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker.
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Director, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al.
Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB
Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733
Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
Source data: Unlock MLS listing activity, Oct 11 to Oct 17, 2026, n=18 price reductions
Cover photo: Lockhart State Park, Caldwell County by Larry D. Moore, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










