Caldwell County's Top 5 Luxury Subdivisions in September
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-15
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $215,000
138 Talon DR, Luling TX 78648 · MLS #7607711
Listed at $198,500, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,426 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; 11% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 8% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182517710/138-Talon-DR-Luling-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $215,000 to $243,000
435 Dubai Ave, Maxwell TX 78656 · MLS #5363213
Listed at $240,999, 4 bed, 2 bath, 2,162 sq ft. Listed 12% below the ALEX valuation; 18% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 10% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1189440275/435-Dubai-Ave-Maxwell-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $243,000 to $340,000
1002 Golden ST, Maxwell TX 78656 · MLS #5894690
Listed at $267,160, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,246 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; 27% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 5% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186265719/1002-Golden-ST-Maxwell-TX
Upper quartile: $340,000 and up
661 Hidden Oak RD, Dale TX 78616 · MLS #6978163
Listed at $700,000, 3 bed, 3 bath, 1,920 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 20% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1178529237/661-Hidden-Oak-RD-Dale-TX
Key figures · Caldwell County · September 2026
- 32 homes sold in Caldwell County in September 2026 (down 15.8% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $269,490 (down 12.2% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $151.
- Median days on market: 46.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 92.5%.
- 243 homes for sale now, about 5.9 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, September 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
What defines a luxury home in Caldwell County this month? ALEX Intelligence set the threshold at $494,000, representing the top 10% of all closed sales for the trailing 12 months. In September 2026, three subdivisions met the minimum sample requirement of three sales each to be ranked as luxury markets.
Juniper Springs in Lockhart led the luxury segment with a median sale price of $492,000 across seven transactions. While this figure sits just below the strict top-10% threshold for the county-wide ranking, it represents the highest activity volume among high-value properties in the area. The subdivision also recorded the longest median days on market at 103 days, indicating a slower turnover for premium inventory compared to entry-level homes.
Cotton Gateway and Sunset Oaks also appeared in the high-price tier analysis, with median prices of $225,999 and $271,740 respectively. However, these figures fall below the $494,000 luxury threshold defined by the data. Consequently, only Juniper Springs qualifies as a distinct luxury subdivision based on the strict price-tier criteria for this month. The median price per square foot in the county stood at $151, while the overall median sale price was $269,490.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed 32 closed sales to determine these rankings. This analysis excludes properties with fewer than three transactions to ensure statistical reliability. The data reflects a market where luxury activity is concentrated in specific pockets rather than spread evenly across all subdivisions.
URL: https://alex.realestate/market-data/caldwell-county/luxury-subdivisions-september-2026
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker.
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Director, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al.
Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB
Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733
Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, September 2026, n=32
Cover photo: Lockhart State Park, Caldwell County by Larry D. Moore, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov











