Caldwell County August Market Recap and Outlook
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-05
Caldwell County saw a significant shift in August with median home prices rising to $270,000, an 18.6% increase compared to the same month last year. This price growth occurred alongside a 23.3% jump in sales volume, which reached 37 closed transactions. The market also became more active, with homes spending fewer days on the market; the median time to sell dropped to 39 days, a 37.1% decrease from July and a 105.3% increase compared to August 2025 when sales were faster.
The average home size sold in August was 1,707 square feet, slightly larger than the prior month. Buyers paid an average of $158 per square foot, which is 7.5% higher than last year but down 3.7% from July. Despite the price gains, negotiation dynamics remained similar to the previous month, with homes selling at 93.6% of their original list price. However, a higher percentage of sales (86.5%) closed below the original asking price compared to the prior period and last year.
New construction activity continued to be a driver, with 20 new-construction homes closing in August, up from 15 in July. The current inventory level stands at 242 active listings, providing a balanced environment for buyers and sellers. While prices have strengthened significantly over the past year, the market remains sensitive to interest rates, which currently sit at 7.28% according to Freddie Mac data. This monthly recap reflects a period of robust price appreciation and increased buyer activity in Caldwell County.
This week's 5 best values under $1,000,000, ranked by the ALEX deal score:
1. 123 E Davis ST, Luling TX 78648 · MLS #5650216
Listed at $84,900, 2 bed, 1 bath, 1,084 sq ft. Listed 26% below the ALEX valuation; 50% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 23% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185828585/123-E-Davis-ST-Luling-TX
2. 308 Foxfire CV, Lockhart TX 78644 · MLS #7792824
Listed at $414,900, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,545 sq ft. Listed 12% below the ALEX valuation; 10% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 17% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1176188544/308-Foxfire-CV-Lockhart-TX
3. 214 S Hackberry Ave, Luling TX 78648 · MLS #2926477
Listed at $165,000, 2 bed, 1 bath, 1,048 sq ft. Listed 18% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 20% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1173934089/214-S-Hackberry-Ave-Luling-TX
4. 306 Foxfire CV, Lockhart TX 78644 · MLS #8649763
Listed at $374,900, 4 bed, 2 bath, 2,187 sq ft. Listed 14% below the ALEX valuation; 6% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 22% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182519635/306-Foxfire-CV-Lockhart-TX
5. 903 Travis ST, Lockhart TX 78644 · MLS #5113261
Listed at $205,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,422 sq ft. Listed 20% below the ALEX valuation; 11% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 22% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183880665/903-Travis-ST-Lockhart-TX
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
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MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker.
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Director, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al.
Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB
Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733
Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, August 2026, n=37
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov





