Bastrop County: New Listings Outpace Closings in Rolling Six Months

Deal of the Week

Deal of the Week · 19300 Bear Grass DR, Elgin TX 78621 · MLS #1383841 · Listed by Compass RE Texas, LLC. ALEX valuation $296,000 is an ALEX Intelligence estimate, not an appraisal.

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $294,000 19300 Bear Grass DR, Elgin TX 78621 · MLS #1383841 Listed at $279,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,859 sq ft. Listed 6% below the ALEX valuation; 9% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 10% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183883868/19300-Bear-Grass-DR-Elgin-TX Lower-middle quartile: $294,000 to $345,000 241 Red Tail Hawk LN, Cedar Creek TX 78612 · MLS #1846048 Listed at $329,900, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,220 sq ft. Listed 6% below the ALEX valuation; 6% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 17% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1169869467/241-Red-Tail-Hawk-LN-Cedar-Creek-TX Upper-middle quartile: $345,000 to $436,000 110 Cassins Nest, Cedar Creek TX 78612 · MLS #4993822 Listed at $386,990, 5 bed, 3 bath, 3,016 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; 19% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 15% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186127013/110-Cassins-Nest-Cedar-Creek-TX Upper quartile: $436,000 and up 1883 Watterson RD, Red Rock TX 78662 · MLS #5426029 Listed at $849,000, 4 bed, 3 bath, 3,729 sq ft. Listed 10% below the ALEX valuation; 19% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 9% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183134104/1883-Watterson-RD-Red-Rock-TX

Key figures · Bastrop County · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026

705 homes sold in Bastrop County in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (up 5.9% on a year earlier).

Median sale price: $345,000 (down 2.0% on a year earlier).

Median price per square foot: $188.

Median days on market: 69.

Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 94.2%.

698 homes for sale now, about 5.8 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.

Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Bastrop County saw 877 new listings enter the market while 705 homes closed in the trailing six months. This gap between new supply and demand indicates a shift in inventory dynamics compared to the prior period. ALEX Intelligence analyzed the dual-axis trend of new listings versus closings to quantify this supply gap. Over the rolling six months ending September 30, 2026, the market absorbed 705 closed sales. During that same window, 877 properties were newly listed. This net increase in available inventory suggests a transition toward more balanced conditions compared to tighter markets where listings consistently lag behind closings. The median home price for these 705 transactions was $345,000, up 1.3% from the prior six-month period. However, the volume of new activity remains higher than the absorption rate. While 705 homes sold, the addition of 877 new listings means the total pool of available properties grew during this window. This supply gap is a key indicator for buyers and sellers to watch. For sellers, it suggests slightly more competition as new inventory arrives faster than it sells. For buyers, it may mean more options compared to periods where demand outstrips supply. The data reflects a market in flux, where the rate of new listings is currently exceeding the rate of closings. Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker. George Arnold Alexander III, MPA Director, ALEX Companies Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al. Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733 Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456 [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951