109 Leon Loop
Summary
This valuation is for 109 Leon Loop in Santa Rita Ranch South, Liberty Hill, TX. It was listed at $649,900 and was on the market for 127 days before the listing expired on 10/20/2026. We compared it with the five recent sales of homes most like it. Our recommended list price is $599,900. We think it is worth between $581,690 and $639,336, which is 10.5% to 1.6% below its last asking price.
ALEX Model valuation
Each bar is one sale’s value after every Step 3 stage (3.1–3.9). Beneath it: its weight (3.10), then how closely it matches this home on proximity · similarity · recency (the Step 2 measures, 100% = identical). Darker bars count for more. The gold line is the ALEX Model valuation: each sale’s value counted by its weight. Sales most like the home count for more, whether ALEX or the agent selected them.
The property
1 Price raised. On 7/22/2026 the list price was raised from $719,900 to $724,900 (+0.7%).
2 Estimated taxes. WCAD 2026 value $643,869 × tax rate 2.219465% = $14,290 a year, with no exemptions.
3 Flood zone. Zone X: minimal risk (area of minimal flood hazard). Source: FEMA National Flood Hazard Layer (Flood Insurance Rate Map), hazards.fema.gov, read 10/29/2026 at the listing’s map point. A map reading, not a flood zone determination; a lender orders one for a loan.
Where it is
Property values
Listing strategy
Buyer incentives · a cash credit at close, for example $10,000
Our recommended list price is $599,900. A cash credit at close the buyer can use for cash, closing costs or a rate buydown, offered three ways. The amount is yours to set; this example uses $10,000. Each bold figure is what you keep after the credit, before commissions and other selling costs; beneath it, the sale price and the share of the list price it sells at.
| Option | List price | Chance of sellingvs the average listing | Bestupper quartile | Averagemedian | Worselower quartile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Built into the price Recommended | $599,900 | +5.6 pts | $589,900 | $577,700 | $567,400 |
| Just baked into price to help sell faster and be more competitive. | sale $599,900 100.0% of list | sale $587,700 98.0% of list | sale $577,400 96.2% of list | ||
| Add all of it to the list price Not recommended | $609,900 | +4.8 pts | $598,000 | $585,600 | $575,200 |
| Recommended list + $10,000. | sale $608,000 99.7% of list | sale $595,600 97.7% of list | sale $585,200 95.9% of list | ||
| Split it | $604,900 | +5.2 pts | $593,900 | $581,600 | $571,200 |
| Increase list by $5,000 while offering a $10,000 credit. | sale $603,900 99.8% of list | sale $591,600 97.8% of list | sale $581,200 96.1% of list |
- Best, Average and Worse. For the recommended price: the upper quartile, median and lower quartile of close price ÷ final list price for the 92 resale single family sales in ZIP 78642 listed at $552,000 to $747,000, closed 9/25/2025 to 9/8/2026, on the market at least 15 days (ALEX’s negotiation model, on its weighted set of 59, measures a median of 98.1%).
- Higher list prices. A home listed further above its value closes at a smaller share of its list price. Across 2,977 Williamson County, $600k to $1M listings, the median close ÷ list is 97.3% at $599,900, 97.1% at $604,900 and 97.0% at $609,900. Each higher option’s three ratios are lowered by that difference from the recommended price.
- Chance of selling. How many more of every 100 similar listings at that price sold than of the average listing (Williamson County, $600k to $1M).
- Sale price. Sale price = list price × that ratio, rounded to $100.
- Appraisal. A higher list price must still appraise for a buyer with a loan.
- Method. How each figure is measured, step by step: Supplement A · The ALEX Model, Buyer incentives.
- Seller-paid closing costs. Sellers of similar homes here who paid buyer closing costs paid a median of $11,197 (33 sales).
Detailed comparable sale valuations
 109 LeonThis homeMLS # 8502031 |  216 RietiSale 1MLS # 9612655 |  117 RosaSale 2MLS # 9311538 |  504 LeonSale 3MLS # 2515741 |  104 LeonSale 4MLS # 4804904 |  109 MarkSale 5MLS # 5866339 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Summary | ||||||
| Weight | — | 25.7% | 25.4% | 23.6% | 13.5% | 11.8% |
| Proximity match | — | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Similarity match | — | 96% | 96% | 97% | 97% | 100% |
| Recency match | — | 99% | 99% | 90% | 53% | 43% |
| 3.1 · Closed price | — | $660,000 | $640,000 | $625,000 | $660,000 | $733,000 |
| SF | 3,316 SF | 3,827 SF | 3,748 SF | 2,894 SF | 3,764 SF | 3,406 SF |
| $/SF | — | $172 | $171 | $216 | $175 | $215 |
| Standard Arithmetic Model | — | $571,874 | $566,233 | $716,137 | $581,445 | $713,631 |
| 3.2 · Buyer closing costs paid by seller | — | −$9,000 | −$3,000 | −$15,000 | — | — |
| 3.3 · Buyer required repairs paid by seller | — | — | — | — | −$6,000 | — |
| 3.4 · Time adjustment | — | −$12,392 | −$23,273 | −$11,683 | −$44,108 | −$57,966 |
| 3.5 · ALEX Model Changes | — | +$1,254 | −$4,441 | +$1,803 | +$8,869 | −$29,185 |
| 3.6 · ALEX Agent Changes | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3.7 · Additional Agent Changes | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3.8 · SF adjustment | — | −$85,438 | −$70,227 | +$87,509 | −$73,646 | −$17,066 |
| 3.9 · Size correction | — | +$51,653 | +$42,631 | −$55,781 | +$44,670 | +$10,553 |
| ALEX Model valuation | — | $606,077 | $581,690 | $631,848 | $589,785 | $639,336 |
| 1 · Comparable sale selection | ||||||
| Distance | — | 0.38 mi N | 0.26 mi NNW | 0.07 mi WNW | 0.03 mi SE | 0.06 mi NNW |
| Subdivision | Santa | Santa | Santa | Santa | Santa | Santa |
| Living area | 3,316 SF | 3,827 SF | 3,748 SF | 2,894 SF | 3,764 SF | 3,406 SF |
| Bedrooms | 4 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| Bathrooms | 3.1 | 4.1 | 4.1 | 2.1 | 4 | 3.1 |
| Year built | 2018 | 2020 | 2020 | 2018 | 2019 | 2018 |
| Lot area | 8,830 SF | 7,492 SF | 9,923 SF | 7,357 SF | 7,488 SF | 7,523 SF |
| Garage | 2-car | 2-car | 2-car | 3-car | 3-car | 2-car |
| Levels | Two | Two | Two | Two | Two | Two |
| 3.1 · Closed price | ||||||
| Listing date | 06/15/26 | 08/30/25 | 06/03/26 | 10/20/25 | 02/03/24 | 08/24/24 |
| Close date | Expired | 08/14/26 | 07/17/26 | 01/05/26 | 01/13/25 | 11/08/24 |
| Days on market | 127 | 316 | 8 | 32 | 285 | 49 |
| List price | $649,900 | $655,999 | $660,000 | $625,000 | $670,000 | $735,000 |
| Sale price | — | $660,000 | $640,000 | $625,000 | $660,000 | $733,000 |
| 3.2 · Buyer closing costs paid by seller | ||||||
| Closing costs | — | −$9,000 | −$3,000 | −$15,000 | — | — |
| Section 3 subtotal | — | −$9,000 | −$3,000 | −$15,000 | — | — |
| 3.3 · Buyer required repairs paid by seller | ||||||
| Repairs in contract | — | — | — | — | −$6,000 | — |
| Repairs after inspection | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Repairs after appraisal | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Section 4 subtotal | — | — | — | — | −$6,000 | — |
| 3.4 · Time adjustment | ||||||
| Months from sale to today | — | 2 months | 3 months | 9 months | 21 months | 23 months |
| Section 5 subtotal | — | −$12,392 | −$23,273 | −$11,683 | −$44,108 | −$57,966 |
| 3.5 · ALEX Model Changes and 3.6 · ALEX Agent Changes | ||||||
| Age | — | −$2,447 | −$2,341 | — | −$2,352 | −$2,528 |
| Back yard | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bedroom count | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Casita | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Corner lot | — | — | +$3,646 | — | — | — |
| Cul-de-sac | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Deck | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Exterior condition | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fence | — | +$5,995 | — | — | — | — |
| Fireplace | — | — | — | — | +$7,115 | — |
| Flood plain | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Flooring | — | — | −$10,008 | — | −$10,054 | −$10,807 |
| Foundation | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Front yard | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Full bath | — | −$16,944 | −$16,209 | +$15,883 | −$16,284 | — |
| Full bath 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Full bath 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Garage | — | — | −$7,487 | −$14,674 | −$15,043 | — |
| Guest suite | — | — | — | — | +$6,034 | — |
| Half bath | — | — | — | — | +$7,742 | — |
| Interior condition | — | $0 | +$18,271 | +$32,575 | +$18,355 | +$19,729 |
| Interior lighting | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Interior quality | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lot size | — | +$8,166 | −$5,553 | +$8,502 | +$7,875 | +$8,227 |
| Open floor plan | — | +$11,071 | +$10,591 | — | — | +$11,436 |
| Outbuilding | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Outdoor kitchen | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Patio | — | −$4,587 | −$4,388 | −$4,299 | −$4,408 | −$4,738 |
| Pool | — | — | — | −$45,830 | — | −$50,504 |
| Primary bath | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Primary bedroom on main | — | — | +$9,037 | — | — | — |
| Septic | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Solar | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stories | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Study office | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Two-story great room | — | — | — | +$9,646 | +$9,889 | — |
| Updated or remodeled | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| View | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Waterfront | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Well | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3.5 and 3.6 subtotal | — | +$1,254 | −$4,441 | +$1,803 | +$8,869 | −$29,185 |
| 3.7 · Additional Agent Changes | ||||||
| Interior condition (from showing) | ||||||
| 3.7 subtotal | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3.8 · SF adjustment | ||||||
| Section 8 subtotal | — | −$85,438 | −$70,227 | +$87,509 | −$73,646 | −$17,066 |
| 3.9 · Size correction | ||||||
| Section 9 subtotal | — | +$51,653 | +$42,631 | −$55,781 | +$44,670 | +$10,553 |
This is a comparable-sales opinion of value. It is not a certified appraisal and not a mortgage or lending document. Sale prices are net of seller-paid closing costs and buyer-requested repairs, adjusted to today with ALEX’s index. Sale and listing data: ABOR MLS via secure APIs, as of October 29, 2026, 11:15 AM CDT. Tax values: the county appraisal district where available. ALEX Companies · Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission · Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC, #565194-BB · Diane Hart Alexander, Designated Broker, #574877-B.