ALEX · Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC – ALEX Companies

321 Angus Drive

Cedar Park, TX 78613 – Ranch At Brushy Creek
MLS # 5877261
Prepared for —
Prepared by Diane Hart Alexander
Supplement A · The ALEX Model
Version 14.462
Tuesday, October 27, 2026 · 12:36 PM CDT
Privileged & Confidential For use by ALEX Agents and Clients only. Sharing this report or its information with any third party without ALEX’s express written consent is prohibited and subjects the disclosing party to legal action. ALEX Model · Patent Pending

Two models, the same sales

LowestAverageMedianHighest
ALEX Model$978,325$1,065,936$1,077,796$1,230,520
Standard Arithmetic Model$928,500$1,007,050$970,218$1,161,389

The Standard Arithmetic Model is each sale’s price per SF times this home’s 3,714 SF, every sale counted equally, nothing adjusted. The ALEX Model nets out seller concessions, brings each sale to today, adjusts it for every measured difference, corrects for size and weights it by how closely it matches. Here the ALEX Model is $58,886 (5.8%) higher.

How one sale becomes a value

2 · Closed price $1,015,000
3 · Buyer closing costs paid by seller$1,013,000−$2,000
4 · Buyer required repairs paid by seller$1,013,000—
5 · Time adjustment $980,645 −$32,355
6 · ALEX Model & Agent Changes $1,018,705 +$38,060
Price per SF $251.53/SF
8 · SF adjustment $934,190 −$84,515
9 · Size correction $978,325 +$44,135

204 Broken Arrow, step by step.

How the comparable sales were chosen

Closed sales in the market area that are fair evidence49
In this home's subdivision25
Same school district22
Same elementary school22
The same kind of home20
Searched: Ranch at Brushy Creek, all phases and sections16
Within 25% of this home's size, sold in the last 11 months6
Close enough on seven measures of similarity5
Comparable sales used5

How accurate it is

Sales it was tested on19,621
Typical error (median)8.2%
Average error11.5%
Confidence in this valuationMedium (67/100)

Each sale was valued as if unknown, from sales before it, in a test held out after 03/30/26; the error is the gap to what it actually sold for.

Bringing each sale to today

SaleSoldMarket sinceAdjustment
204 Broken Arrow06/26-3.2%−$32,355
305 Stiles08/26-0.8%−$7,661
401 Bluff View10/26+0.0%—
401 Bluff Point12/25-1.0%−$11,085
301 Raging River03/26-2.2%−$31,475

ALEX’s repeat-sales index for Williamson County, blended toward the Austin area where county sales are thin: built from homes that sold more than once, so a change in what sold does not read as a change in prices.

Other estimates of this home

SourceEstimatevs ALEX
ALEX valuation$1,065,936—
Zillow Zestimate$1,141,000+7.0%
HouseCanary$1,173,566+10.1%
WCAD market value, 2026$957,600-10.2%

Automated estimates use public records and broad statistics; they do not see this home’s comparable sales or their concessions. A county value is set for taxes as of January 1.

This is a comparable-sales opinion of value. It is not a certified appraisal and not a mortgage or lending document. Sale prices are net of seller-paid closing costs and buyer-requested repairs, adjusted to today with ALEX’s repeat-sales index for Williamson County. Sale and listing data: ABOR MLS via secure APIs. Tax values: the county appraisal district where available. ALEX Companies · Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission · Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC, #565194-BB · Diane Hart Alexander, Designated Broker, #574877-B.