ALEX · Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC – ALEX Companies

2708 Springwood Lane

Georgetown, TX 78628 – Falls Of San Gabriel
MLS # 4222044
Prepared for Elizabeth Hering
Prepared by Diane Hart Alexander
Supplement A · The ALEX Model
Version 14.535
Thursday, November 5, 2026 · 2:31 PM CST
Privileged & Confidential For use by ALEX Agents and Clients only. Sharing this report or its information with any third party without ALEX’s express written consent is prohibited and subjects the disclosing party to legal action. ALEX Model · Patent Pending

The ALEX Model is unique in both comparable selection and precision valuation.

Summary

The ALEX Model againstOtherALEXDifference
Austin MLS CMA variables used134330 more
Standard Arithmetic Model$735,696$719,202ALEX $16,494 lower (2.2%)
Zillow Zestimate$659,300$719,202ALEX $59,902 higher
WCAD market value, 2026$830,883$719,202ALEX $111,681 lower

Step 1 · Comparable sale selection

Selected by Diane Hart Alexander. ALEX’s selection rules were not applied; every sale entered was used as entered and adjusted the same way.

Step 3 · Valuation

3006 Hawthorne, the sale that counts most, stage by stage. Every sale goes through the same stages; each one’s figures are in Detailed comparable sale valuations.

StageWhat it doesChangeValue
3.1Closed priceWhat the sale closed for, as recorded in the MLS$750,000
3.2Buyer closing costs paid by sellerThe sale price less the buyer’s closing costs the seller paid, as recorded in the MLSnone$750,000
3.3Buyer required repairs paid by sellerLess the repairs the seller paid at the buyer’s request, as recorded in the MLSnone$750,000
3.4Time adjustmentBrought to today with ALEX’s index−$20,465$729,535
3.5ALEX Model ChangesEach difference from this home — bathrooms, garage, lot size, view, age and the rest — priced at what ABOR closed sales in the same price range show the market pays−$14,245$715,290
3.6ALEX Agent ChangesAny ALEX line the agent revised, at the agent’s figurenone$715,290
3.7Additional Agent ChangesAny line the agent addednone$715,290
3.8SF adjustmentThe adjusted price per SF times this home’s SF+$6,031$721,321
3.9Size correctionLarger homes sell for less per SF, as measured on the market−$3,759$717,562
Value from this sale$717,562
3.10WeightHow much this sale counts in the ALEX Model valuation. Sales most like the home count for more, whether ALEX or the agent selected them. How closely it matches on the Step 2 measures, 100% = identical: proximity 100%, similarity 100%, recency 77%63.7%
3.11ALEX valuationThe weighted average of the sales, with the lowest, median and highest beside it$719,202

Variables used: ALEX Model and Austin MLS CMA

10 13 Austin MLS CMA 22 9 7 43 ALEX Model WHAT IS COUNTED CMA ALEX Comparable sale selection rules (Step 1) – 0 Measures of similarity (Step 2) – 7 Time adjustment (3.4) – 1 Feature lines the agent prices (3.5) – 9 Feature adjustments (3.5) 10 22 Transactional adjustments (3.2–3.3) 2 2 Size adjustments (3.8–3.9) 1 2 Total 13 43

The ALEX Model uses 43 variables in this valuation, 30 more than the 13 adjustments in the Austin MLS CMA, which leaves the choice of sales to the realtor and makes no time adjustment. The CMA counts Subdivision among its 10 features; the ALEX Model uses it to choose the sales (1.2). Every ALEX feature adjustment is priced at what ABOR closed sales show the market pays. Each variable counts once in each step it is used in. 14 of the feature adjustments changed at least one sale’s value here. 11 more feature lines were tested on ABOR sales in this price range, showed no measurable price difference, carry $0 and are not counted. Lines an agent adds (3.6–3.7) are not counted.

How the two models differ

Standard Arithmetic Model
$246.05 × 2,990 SF = $735,696
Unweighted
#13006 Hawthorne Cv50.0%$756,324
#22600 Grapevine Springs Cv50.0%$715,067
ALEX Model
Range of weighted values of two sales = $717,562 – $722,081
Weighted
#13006 Hawthorne Cv63.7%$717,562
#22600 Grapevine Springs Cv36.3%$722,081

Two models, the same sales

LowestAverageMedianHighest
ALEX Model$717,562$719,202$717,562$722,081
Standard Arithmetic Model$715,067$735,696$735,696$756,324

The Standard Arithmetic Model is each sale’s price per SF times this home’s 2,990 SF, every sale counted equally, nothing adjusted. The ALEX Model nets out seller concessions, brings each sale to today, adjusts it for every measured difference, corrects for size and weights it by how closely it matches. Here the ALEX Model is $16,494 (2.2%) lower.

How accurate it is

No accuracy test is on record for this model.

Bringing each sale to today

SaleSoldMarket sinceAdjustment
3006 Hawthorne05/26-2.7%−$20,465
2600 Grapevine Springs01/26-1.3%−$9,314

ALEX’s index, blended toward the Austin area where county sales are thin: built from homes that sold more than once, so a change in what sold does not read as a change in prices.

Other estimates of this home

SourceEstimatevs ALEX
ALEX valuation$719,202—
Zillow Zestimate$659,300-8.3%
WCAD market value, 2026$830,883+15.5%

Automated estimates use public records and broad statistics; they do not see this home’s comparable sales or their concessions. A county value is set for taxes as of January 1.

This is a comparable-sales opinion of value. It is not a certified appraisal and not a mortgage or lending document. Sale prices are net of seller-paid closing costs and buyer-requested repairs, adjusted to today with ALEX’s index. Sale and listing data: ABOR MLS via secure APIs, as of November 5, 2026, 2:30 PM CST. Tax values: the county appraisal district where available. ALEX Companies · Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission · Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC, #565194-BB · Diane Hart Alexander, Designated Broker, #574877-B.