For use by ALEX Agents and Clients only. Sharing this report or its information with any third party without ALEX’s express written consent is prohibited and subjects the disclosing party to legal action.
© 2026 ALEX. All rights reserved.ALEX · Executive Summary
Comparable-sales valuation · Listed Property Buyer Model · Williamson County
The detailed report: https://alex-companies.com/valuations/buyer-listed/2708-springwood-ln-georgetown-tx-template-canonical.html
Every
calculation, comparable sale and source behind this summary, always the current version.
This executive summary: https://alex-companies.com/valuations/_template/template-working-summary.html
The
permanent link to this summary, always the current version.
Recommended initial offer
It combines the ALEX AI Valuation Model with how similar listings were negotiated: the asking price times the low end of what similar homes here closed at against their own asking price.
For each similar home that sold, ALEX divides the price it closed at by its last asking price. That ratio is how far negotiation moved the price. At 100% the home closed at its asking price. Below 100% the buyer negotiated it down. Above 100% buyers bid it up.
This report used Georgetown, $600k to $1M: 251 sales that closed from October 8, 2024 to September 29, 2026. In that group, 16% of homes closed at or below 97.0% of their asking price. The recommended initial offer is the asking price, $675,000, times 97.0%, rounded to the nearest $500.
For this report the comparable sales were chosen by the agent, Diane Hart Alexander, so the rules below were not applied. Every closed sale the agent entered is used and adjusted by the same engine. When ALEX chooses, it works like this:
The agent can select any comparable sale. An agent may choose any closed sale as a comparable, and may replace or remove any of ALEX’s. That choice does not depend on the model: the rules above apply only when ALEX does the choosing.
The full method, with this home’s counts at each step, is under “How the comparables were chosen” in the detailed report.
If you want to discuss the recommended offer, contact Diane (your agent).
Both models start from the same sales. But at that point they dramatically differ.
ALEX AI Statistical Model
Minimum
Average
Median
Maximum
ALEX’s statistical model uses two comparable sales. Each sale’s adjusted price is carried to this home’s 2,990 SF using the size effect measured from 15,182 recent sales in the ABOR market: resales priced $600,000 to $1,000,000, closed since July 2023. Each sale is then weighted by how closely it matches this home on size, age, lot, rooms, distance and date of sale. The average and median are weighted; the minimum and maximum are the lowest and highest single sale.
Traditional Arithmetic Model
Minimum
Average
Median
Maximum
The same two sales, with no adjustments: the average sale price per SF times this home’s 2,990 SF, every sale counted equally. Section 02 explains how the two Models differ.
Arithmetic Model. The math is simple:
Example. $200 (Average Sale Price per SF) × 2,500 SF (Subject Property’s SF) = $500,000 (Subject Property’s Estimated Value).
ALEX Model. It is statistically sound and accurate:
How one sale becomes a value: 3006 Hawthorne Cv
This sale says this home is worth $682,111. Every sale goes through the same steps. The agent selected these sales, so each counts equally: the average of both is $701,395. That is ALEX’s valuation.
How much each sale counts
| 3006 Hawthorne Cv | $682,111 | 50.0% |
| 2600 Grapevine Springs Cv | $720,679 | 50.0% |
| Average | $701,395 | 100% |
Each slice is one sale’s share of the valuation. The agent selected these sales, so each counts equally. The dollar figure is what that sale says this home is worth, and the valuation is their average.
Compared on the average alone, ALEX’s valuation is lower than the traditional arithmetic figure. The difference is shown below in dollars and as a percentage of the traditional average.
ALEX AI average
Traditional average
Difference
All two are in Falls Of San Gabriel, this house’s own subdivision. In each table the first column is this house and each column after it is one comparable sale. Dollar amounts are rounded to the nearest dollar, and each total is the sum of the lines shown above it.
2708 Springwood LnThis houseMLS # 4222044 | 3006 Hawthorne CvSale 1MLS # 3935997 | 2600 Grapevine Springs CvSale 2MLS # 8742726 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Distance from this house | — | 0.11 mi ESE | 0.14 mi SSW |
| Living area | 2,990 SF | 2,965 SF | 2,927 SF |
| Bedrooms | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Bathrooms | 3 | 3 | 2.1 |
| Year built | 2004 | 2004 | 2008 |
| Lot area | 20,190 SF | 35,227 SF | 22,473 SF |
| Garage | 3-car | 3-car | 1-car |
| Levels | One | One | Two |
2708 Springwood LnThis houseMLS # 4222044 | 3006 Hawthorne CvSale 1MLS # 3935997 | 2600 Grapevine Springs CvSale 2MLS # 8742726 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Listing date | 10/10/26 | 04/08/26 | 05/09/25 |
| Close date | Active | 05/08/26 | 01/29/26 |
| Days on market | 5 | 9 | 178 |
| Original list price | $675,000 | $750,000 | $834,500 |
| Last list price | $675,000 | $750,000 | $735,000 |
| Closed price | — | $750,000 | $700,000 |
| Buyer closing costs paid by the seller | — | — | — |
| Repairs at the buyer’s request | — | — | — |
| Net sale price | — | $750,000 | $700,000 |
| Months from sale to today | — | 5 months | 9 months |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market trend to today | — | −$15,401 | −$4,524 |
| Time-adjusted net sale price | — | $734,599 | $695,476 |
| Per SF | — | $248 | $238 |
2708 Springwood LnThis houseMLS # 4222044 | 3006 Hawthorne CvSale 1MLS # 3935997 | 2600 Grapevine Springs CvSale 2MLS # 8742726 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | — | — | −$6,005 |
| Lot size | — | −$30,182 | −$5,793 |
| Stories | — | — | +$18,191 |
| Bedroom count | — | — | — |
| Full bath | — | — | +$19,404 |
| Primary bath | — | — | — |
| Full bath 2 | — | — | — |
| Full bath 3 | — | — | — |
| Half bath | — | — | −$8,652 |
| Garage | — | — | +$26,071 |
| Kitchen | — | — | — |
| Interior quality | — | — | — |
| Interior lighting | — | — | — |
| Pool | — | — | — |
| View | — | −$8,427 | −$20,516 |
| Fireplace | — | — | −$8,516 |
| Study office | — | −$8,043 | — |
| Patio | — | +$4,731 | — |
| Deck | — | — | — |
| Outdoor kitchen | — | — | — |
| Outbuilding | — | — | — |
| Solar | — | — | — |
| Exterior condition | — | — | — |
| Front yard | — | — | — |
| Back yard | — | — | — |
| Updated or remodeled | — | — | — |
| Cul-de-sac | — | — | — |
| Corner lot | — | — | +$5,246 |
| Guest suite | — | −$4,730 | — |
| Fence | — | −$7,997 | — |
| Foundation | — | — | — |
| Septic | — | — | — |
| Well | — | — | — |
| Flood plain | — | — | — |
| Casita | — | — | — |
| Visible disrepair | — | — | — |
| Bathrooms | — | — | — |
| Total AI & Diane adjustments | — | −$54,648 | +$19,430 |
2708 Springwood LnThis houseMLS # 4222044 | 3006 Hawthorne CvSale 1MLS # 3935997 | 2600 Grapevine Springs CvSale 2MLS # 8742726 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scaling to 2,990 SF | — | +$5,733 | +$15,387 |
| Statistical size adjustment | — | −$3,573 | −$9,614 |
| Total size adjustment | — | +$2,160 | +$5,773 |
Scaling to 2,990 SF. Every home that sold is smaller than this one. To compare them fairly, each sale’s price is first restated at this home’s size, using the sale’s own price per SF. For example, 3006 Hawthorne Cv has 2,965 SF. Its price after the time adjustment and all feature adjustments, including any made by Diane, is $679,951. Restated at this home’s size: $679,951 × 2,990 ÷ 2,965 = $685,684. The scaling line for 3006 Hawthorne Cv is the difference, +$5,733.
Statistical size adjustment. Scaling at a sale’s own price per SF assumes that price per SF stays the same as size changes. It does not. Smaller homes usually sell for more per SF than larger ones. Every home has a kitchen, bathrooms and a lot, and those cost about the same whatever its size. Scaling alone therefore overstates the value of a sale smaller than this home and understates the value of a larger one. Two sales are too few to measure reliably how price per SF changes with size, so ALEX measured it from 15,182 sales in the ABOR market: resales priced $600,000 to $1,000,000, closed since July 2023, holding age, lot, rooms and date of sale constant, and applies that correction to each sale. For 3006 Hawthorne Cv the statistical size adjustment is −$3,573, so its total size adjustment is +$2,160. The further a sale’s size is from this home’s, the larger the correction.
2708 Springwood LnThis houseMLS # 4222044 | 3006 Hawthorne CvSale 1MLS # 3935997 | 2600 Grapevine Springs CvSale 2MLS # 8742726 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weight in the statistical model | — | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Net sale price | — | $750,000 | $700,000 |
| Time adjustment | — | −$15,401 | −$4,524 |
| AI & Diane adjustments | — | −$54,648 | +$19,430 |
| Size adjustment | — | +$2,160 | +$5,773 |
| Final adjusted value | — | $682,111 | $720,679 |
| Final adjusted sale price per SF | — | $228 | $241 |