| Lowest | Average | Median | Highest | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALEX Model | $680,230 | $693,921 | $680,230 | $718,688 |
| Standard Arithmetic Model | $715,067 | $735,696 | $735,696 | $756,324 |
The Standard Arithmetic Model is each sale’s price per SF times this home’s 2,990 SF, every sale counted equally, nothing adjusted. The ALEX Model nets out seller concessions, brings each sale to today, adjusts it for every measured difference, corrects for size and weights it by how closely it matches. Here the ALEX Model is $41,775 (5.7%) lower.
| Sale price | $750,000 | |
| 1 · Seller concessions | $750,000 | — |
| 2 · Time adjustment | $732,574 | −$17,426 |
| 3 · ALEX Model & Agent Changes | $678,077 | −$54,497 |
| Price per SF | $228.69/SF | |
| 5 · SF adjustment | $683,794 | +$5,717 |
| 6 · Size correction | $680,230 | −$3,564 |
3006 Hawthorne, step by step.
2 of these comparables lie past the usual distance for a match; this market area holds nothing closer.
Each sale was valued as if unknown, from sales before it, in a test held out after 03/30/26; the error is the gap to what it actually sold for.
| Sale | Sold | Market since | Adjustment |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3006 Hawthorne | 05/26 | -2.3% | −$17,426 |
| 2600 Grapevine Springs | 01/26 | -0.9% | −$6,446 |
ALEX’s repeat-sales index for Williamson County, blended toward the Austin area where county sales are thin: built from homes that sold more than once, so a change in what sold does not read as a change in prices.
| Source | Estimate | vs ALEX |
|---|---|---|
| ALEX valuation | $693,921 | — |
| Zillow Zestimate | $659,500 | -5.0% |
| HouseCanary | $656,747 | -5.4% |
| WCAD market value, 2026 | $830,883 | +19.7% |
Automated estimates use public records and broad statistics; they do not see this home’s comparable sales or their concessions. A county value is set for taxes as of January 1.
This is a comparable-sales opinion of value. It is not a certified appraisal and not a mortgage or lending document. Sale prices are net of seller-paid closing costs and buyer-requested repairs, adjusted to today with ALEX’s repeat-sales index for Williamson County. Sale and listing data: ABOR MLS via secure APIs. Tax values: the county appraisal district where available. ALEX Companies · Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission · Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC, #565194-BB · Diane Hart Alexander, Designated Broker, #574877-B.