Wimberley: Best-Value Subdivisions in Rolling Six Months
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-23
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $436,000
207 Hub DR, Wimberley TX 78676 · MLS #4604705
Listed at $385,000, 2 bed, 2 bath, 1,420 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 13% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1180854053/207-Hub-DR-Wimberley-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $436,000 to $560,000
98 Whispering Valley DR, Wimberley TX 78676 · MLS #8659317
Listed at $449,900, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,871 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 3% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185972595/98-Whispering-Valley-DR-Wimberley-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $560,000 to $810,000
2501 Fischer Store Rd. RD, Wimberley TX 78676 · MLS #9549233
Listed at $599,000, 4 bed, 2 bath, 2,800 sq ft. Listed 2% below the ALEX valuation; 23% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 8% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182524428/2501-Fischer-Store-Rd.-RD-Wimberley-TX
Upper quartile: $810,000 and up
3805 Lone Man Mountain RD # B, Wimberley TX 78676 · MLS #7279014
Listed at $995,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,987 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 26% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1150844009/3805-Lone-Man-Mountain-RD-B-Wimberley-TX
Key figures · Wimberley · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026
- 116 homes sold in Wimberley in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (down 17.1% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $523,000 (up 10.7% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $282.
- Median days on market: 52.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 94.7%.
- 198 homes for sale now, about 10.2 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Which Wimberley subdivision offers the most value for buyers in the current market? ALEX Intelligence fit a hedonic pricing model to 116 closed sales over the last six months to identify properties selling below their estimated fair value. The analysis compares actual median sale prices against model-derived values to find neighborhoods where buyers are paying less than the data suggests is typical.
In the rolling six-month window ending September 30, 2026, two subdivisions met the minimum sample requirement of five sales each and showed positive value indicators. Wimberley Springs Sec 1 recorded a median sale price of $875,000 across five transactions. Woodcreek Sec 19 saw seven closed sales with a median price of $429,000.
The model estimates suggest these areas are trading at or below their intrinsic value relative to features like lot size, living area, and age. While the broader Wimberley market median sat at $523,000, these specific pockets demonstrate distinct pricing dynamics. Buyers looking for entry points into the Hill Country may find these subdivisions offer a margin of safety compared to the regional average.
ALEX Intelligence estimates are based on historical sales data and feature analysis; they are not appraisals. The sample size for this value analysis is limited to the two qualifying subdivisions, each with at least five closed sales in the period. Market conditions shift rapidly, and these figures reflect activity through September 30, 2026.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker.
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Director, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al.
Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB
Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733
Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=116
Cover photo: View west from Old Baldy, Wimberley by Larry D. Moore, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










