Williamson County: Where Prices Were Cut Most in October

Deal of the Week

This week's 5 best values under $1,000,000, ranked by the ALEX deal score: 1. 109 Charmstone LN, Georgetown TX 78628 · MLS #6908093 Listed at $925,000, 4 bed, 4.5 bath, 3,877 sq ft. Listed 17% below the ALEX valuation; 28% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 23% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1179936909/109-Charmstone-LN-Georgetown-TX 2. 15616 Prestancia DR, Austin TX 78717 · MLS #8641254 Listed at $640,000, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 3,162 sq ft. Listed 13% below the ALEX valuation; 32% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 14% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182517292/15616-Prestancia-DR-Austin-TX 3. 10602 Double Tree CV, Austin TX 78750 · MLS #1583155 Listed at $335,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,676 sq ft. Listed 16% below the ALEX valuation; 32% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 21% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184708305/10602-Double-Tree-CV-Austin-TX 4. 540 Gus LOOP, Georgetown TX 78626 · MLS #1085451 Listed at $389,990, 5 bed, 4 bath, 2,650 sq ft. Listed 14% below the ALEX valuation; 28% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 19% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182519310/540-Gus-LOOP-Georgetown-TX 5. 10602 W Turnbull LOOP # 25, Austin TX 78717 · MLS #8025702 Listed at $385,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,977 sq ft. Listed 19% below the ALEX valuation; 34% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 22% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183233163/10602-W-Turnbull-LOOP-25-Austin-TX

Nearly four out of five homes in Williamson County sold for less than their original asking price over the last six months. In the rolling period ending September 30, 2026, 79% of the 5,969 closed sales fell below the initial list price, a shift from 85.8% in the prior six-month window. This trend indicates that while buyers still have leverage to negotiate, the market is seeing fewer deep discounts than earlier in the year. ALEX Intelligence analyzed price reduction history across the county's subdivisions to identify where these cuts were most frequent. The data shows a clear pattern: as inventory levels adjust, sellers are increasingly adjusting expectations before closing. For instance, Firefly Pointe saw 96% of its sales below list price, while Cotton Brook recorded that figure for every single transaction in the group. The median sale-to-list ratio improved to 95.5%, up from 93.1% previously, suggesting homes are selling closer to their asking prices now compared to six months ago. However, the share of sales below original list remains high at 79%, down slightly from 85.8%. This suggests a market where price reductions are common but perhaps less severe or more strategic than before. Subdivisions like Santa Rita Ranch and Wolf Ranch also saw high rates of price cuts, with 91% and 92% of sales respectively falling below the original list. These figures highlight that even in active communities, initial pricing often requires adjustment to secure a deal. The data reflects a dynamic where negotiation remains a standard part of the transaction process for Williamson County buyers. Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker. George Arnold Alexander III, MPA Director, ALEX Companies Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al. Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733 Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456 [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951