Williamson County: How List Prices Compare to Final Sales
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-11
What does a median close-to-original list ratio of 0.955 mean for buyers and sellers in Williamson County? This metric compares the final sale price to the original asking price on every home that closed over the last six months. In this period, homes sold for an average of 95.5% of their initial list price across 5,969 transactions.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed the relationship between listing and closing prices to determine how much negotiation power exists in the current market. The data shows that 79% of all closed sales finished below the original list price. This represents a shift from the prior six-month period, where only 85.8% of homes sold under list, indicating slightly less downward pressure on prices recently.
The median close-to-original list ratio has improved to 0.955 from 0.931 in the previous six months, a 2.6% increase. This suggests that while most homes still sell for less than asked, the gap is narrowing compared to earlier in the year. However, prices remain 3.3% lower than the same period last year, reflecting broader market adjustments.
For sellers, understanding this ratio is critical when setting an initial price. A home listed too high may sit longer or require a price reduction before selling. For buyers, it indicates that there is still room for negotiation on many properties, though the margin has tightened compared to previous months. The median sale price of $408,000 reflects these dynamics across the county's diverse inventory.
Planning a move from Williamson County? Get your home's value and the right list price, free.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker.
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Director, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al.
Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB
Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733
Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
Top 20 Most Active Subdivisions: Williamson County
Activity is new listings plus contracts written plus closed sales in the last 120 days (Jun 13 to Oct 11, 2026). A subdivision is ranked when it has at least 5 closed sales; 181 do here. 55+ communities are listed on their own and marked (55+). Source: Unlock MLS (ABOR) via Bridge Interactive, as of 2026-10-11.
| # | Subdivision | City | Activity | New listings | Contracts | Closed | Median sale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sun City Georgetown (55+)Georgetown | Georgetown | 636 | 222 | 211 | 203 | $363,000 |
| 2 | Santa Rita RanchLiberty Hill | Liberty Hill | 301 | 106 | 92 | 103 | $575,000 |
| 3 | Wolf RanchGeorgetown | Georgetown | 216 | 65 | 68 | 83 | $590,000 |
| 4 | LariatLiberty Hill | Liberty Hill | 208 | 75 | 63 | 70 | $465,000 |
| 5 | Rancho Del CieloJarrell | Jarrell | 185 | 82 | 45 | 58 | $215,000 |
| 6 | SonterraJarrell | Jarrell | 183 | 80 | 54 | 49 | $265,000 |
| 7 | Winfield ParkHutto | Hutto | 178 | 85 | 63 | 30 | $282,000 |
| 8 | Cool WaterJarrell | Jarrell | 163 | 83 | 46 | 34 | $222,000 |
| 9 | Firefly PointeHutto | Hutto | 142 | 66 | 39 | 37 | $281,000 |
| 10 | Parkside on the RiverGeorgetown | Georgetown | 130 | 54 | 30 | 46 | $600,000 |
| 11 | Woodfield PreserveGeorgetown | Georgetown | 129 | 50 | 35 | 44 | $334,000 |
| 12 | Prairie WindsHutto | Hutto | 127 | 44 | 35 | 48 | $367,000 |
| 13 | SienaRound Rock | Round Rock | 126 | 54 | 33 | 39 | $407,000 |
| 14 | FloraHutto | Hutto | 120 | 38 | 38 | 44 | $380,000 |
| 15 | Eastern WellsJarrell | Jarrell | 117 | 44 | 34 | 39 | $284,000 |
| 16 | Lively RanchGeorgetown | Georgetown | 111 | 53 | 29 | 29 | $400,000 |
| 17 | Buttercup CreekCedar Park | Cedar Park | 110 | 41 | 34 | 35 | $490,000 |
| 18 | Butler FarmsLiberty Hill | Liberty Hill | 105 | 47 | 32 | 26 | $325,000 |
| 19 | Cotton BrookHutto | Hutto | 97 | 43 | 26 | 28 | $371,000 |
| 20 | Forest CreekRound Rock | Round Rock | 85 | 35 | 26 | 24 | $584,000 |
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=5,969
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov