Jarrell Market Heat Score: Cooling Prices, Faster Sales

Deal of the Week

277 Louisa LN, Jarrell TX 76537
Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $226,000 277 Louisa LN, Jarrell TX 76537 · MLS #7313914 Listed at $195,999, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,692 sq ft. Listed 14% below the ALEX valuation; 16% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 17% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187457195/277-Louisa-LN-Jarrell-TX Lower-middle quartile: $226,000 to $260,000 300 Sleep Hollow, Jarrell TX 76537 · MLS #1171766 Listed at $249,990, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,372 sq ft. Listed 9% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 14% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1180225001/300-Sleep-Hollow-Jarrell-TX Upper-middle quartile: $260,000 to $292,000 528 Old Western PASS, Jarrell TX 76537 · MLS #7409772 Listed at $270,779, 5 bed, 3 bath, 2,609 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; 27% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 12% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185652847/528-Old-Western-PASS-Jarrell-TX Upper quartile: $292,000 and up 144 Baby Calf Roping RD, Jarrell TX 76537 · MLS #3128268 Listed at $293,400, 6 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,349 sq ft. Listed 6% below the ALEX valuation; 27% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 6% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182521994/144-Baby-Calf-Roping-RD-Jarrell-TX

Key figures · Jarrell · October 2026

Source: Unlock MLS, October 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

All Jarrell market figures and ALEX agents

What does a median price of $239,995 across 54 closed sales tell us about the Jarrell market right now? The numbers indicate a distinct shift in momentum where affordability is rising even as prices retreat. ALEX Intelligence calculated a composite Market Heat Score for Jarrell by weighing four key indicators: median days on market, sale-to-list price ratio, inventory levels, and the frequency of price reductions. In October 2026, the median home sold for 94.4% of its original list price after spending an average of 60 days on the market. This represents a 15.5% decrease in time on market compared to the prior month, though it remains 9.1% higher than the same period last year. The heat score reflects a cooling price environment where the median price fell 7.7% from October 2025 to $239,995. Simultaneously, the share of homes selling below original list dropped to 75.9%, down from 86.8% in the prior month, suggesting that while prices are lower, sellers are holding firm on their asking prices more often than before. With 330 active listings and a months-of-inventory reading of 5.18, the market remains balanced but leans slightly toward buyers due to the extended time required to sell. This data-driven assessment shows that Jarrell is currently defined by faster turnover at lower price points rather than bidding wars. The combination of reduced median prices and improved sale-to-list ratios signals a market adjusting to current conditions without a sharp decline in demand. URL: https://alex.realestate/jarrell-market-heat-score Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC
Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, October 2026, n=54
Cover photo: Jarrell City Hall by Larry D. Moore, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
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Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov