| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
| Partner, ALEX Companies |
| Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC |
| Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL |
| [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951 |
| TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice |
Jarrell Market Heat Score: Cooling Prices, Faster Sales
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-08
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $226,000
277 Louisa LN, Jarrell TX 76537 · MLS #7313914
Listed at $195,999, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,692 sq ft. Listed 14% below the ALEX valuation; 16% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 17% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187457195/277-Louisa-LN-Jarrell-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $226,000 to $260,000
300 Sleep Hollow, Jarrell TX 76537 · MLS #1171766
Listed at $249,990, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,372 sq ft. Listed 9% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 14% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1180225001/300-Sleep-Hollow-Jarrell-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $260,000 to $292,000
528 Old Western PASS, Jarrell TX 76537 · MLS #7409772
Listed at $270,779, 5 bed, 3 bath, 2,609 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; 27% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 12% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185652847/528-Old-Western-PASS-Jarrell-TX
Upper quartile: $292,000 and up
144 Baby Calf Roping RD, Jarrell TX 76537 · MLS #3128268
Listed at $293,400, 6 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,349 sq ft. Listed 6% below the ALEX valuation; 27% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 6% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182521994/144-Baby-Calf-Roping-RD-Jarrell-TX
Key figures · Jarrell · October 2026
- 54 homes sold in Jarrell in October 2026 (up 1.9% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $239,995 (down 7.7% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $141.
- Median days on market: 60.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 94.4%.
- 330 homes for sale now, about 5.2 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, October 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
What does a median price of $239,995 across 54 closed sales tell us about the Jarrell market right now? The numbers indicate a distinct shift in momentum where affordability is rising even as prices retreat.
ALEX Intelligence calculated a composite Market Heat Score for Jarrell by weighing four key indicators: median days on market, sale-to-list price ratio, inventory levels, and the frequency of price reductions. In October 2026, the median home sold for 94.4% of its original list price after spending an average of 60 days on the market. This represents a 15.5% decrease in time on market compared to the prior month, though it remains 9.1% higher than the same period last year.
The heat score reflects a cooling price environment where the median price fell 7.7% from October 2025 to $239,995. Simultaneously, the share of homes selling below original list dropped to 75.9%, down from 86.8% in the prior month, suggesting that while prices are lower, sellers are holding firm on their asking prices more often than before. With 330 active listings and a months-of-inventory reading of 5.18, the market remains balanced but leans slightly toward buyers due to the extended time required to sell.
This data-driven assessment shows that Jarrell is currently defined by faster turnover at lower price points rather than bidding wars. The combination of reduced median prices and improved sale-to-list ratios signals a market adjusting to current conditions without a sharp decline in demand.
URL: https://alex.realestate/jarrell-market-heat-score
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, October 2026, n=54
Cover photo: Jarrell City Hall by Larry D. Moore, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










