Jarrell Market Heat: How It Compares to Neighbors

Deal of the Week

Deal of the Week · 277 Louisa LN, Jarrell TX 76537 · MLS #7313914 · Listed by Keller Williams City-View. ALEX valuation $229,000 is an ALEX Intelligence estimate, not an appraisal.

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $226,000 277 Louisa LN, Jarrell TX 76537 · MLS #7313914 Listed at $195,999, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,692 sq ft. Listed 14% below the ALEX valuation; 16% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 17% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187457195/277-Louisa-LN-Jarrell-TX Lower-middle quartile: $226,000 to $260,000 300 Sleep Hollow, Jarrell TX 76537 · MLS #1171766 Listed at $249,990, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,372 sq ft. Listed 9% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 14% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1180225001/300-Sleep-Hollow-Jarrell-TX Upper-middle quartile: $260,000 to $292,000 528 Old Western PASS, Jarrell TX 76537 · MLS #7409772 Listed at $270,779, 5 bed, 3 bath, 2,609 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; 27% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 12% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185652847/528-Old-Western-PASS-Jarrell-TX Upper quartile: $292,000 and up 144 Baby Calf Roping RD, Jarrell TX 76537 · MLS #3128268 Listed at $293,400, 6 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,349 sq ft. Listed 6% below the ALEX valuation; 27% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 6% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182521994/144-Baby-Calf-Roping-RD-Jarrell-TX

Key figures · Jarrell · October 2026

56 homes sold in Jarrell in October 2026 (up 5.7% on a year earlier).

Median sale price: $240,750 (down 7.4% on a year earlier).

Median price per square foot: $141.

Median days on market: 60.

Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 95.0%.

331 homes for sale now, about 5.1 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.

Source: Unlock MLS, October 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

How does a local market like Jarrell compare to its broader neighbors when prices shift? In October 2026, Jarrell median closed prices dropped to $240,750, down 7.4% from the same month last year and 6.1% lower than September. This decline contrasts with the wider Unlock MLS region, where the median price remained stable at $400,000, and Williamson County, which held steady at $375,000. Jarrell buyers are currently facing a distinct set of conditions compared to the regional average. While the region saw 2,420 closed sales with a median price of $400,000, Jarrell recorded 56 closings. The local market also shows a lower price per square foot at $141, compared to $205 in the region and $190 in Williamson County. Homes in Jarrell are selling for 95% of their original list price, slightly better than the regional average of 93.8%, indicating that local sellers are holding firm relative to the broader area despite lower overall prices. Inventory levels tell a different story. With 331 active listings and 56 sales in October, Jarrell sits at 5.07 months of inventory. This suggests a market that is slightly more balanced or leaning toward buyers compared to the tighter regional dynamics. The data also highlights a shift in home size; the median living area in Jarrell grew to 1,732 square feet, up 8.2% from last year, whereas regional homes averaged 2,014 square feet. ALEX Intelligence analyzed these comparative figures to highlight how local supply and demand dynamics diverge from county and regional trends. While the region maintains higher price points, Jarrell offers a distinct entry-level profile with smaller homes at lower price points, yet maintaining competitive close-to-list ratios. This divergence underscores the importance of looking beyond aggregate regional numbers when evaluating specific local markets. Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog

George Arnold Alexander III, MPA

Partner, ALEX Companies

Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC

Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL

[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951

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