Jarrell Entry-Level Homes: Affordability Check for October

Deal of the Week

277 Louisa LN, Jarrell TX 76537
Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $226,000 277 Louisa LN, Jarrell TX 76537 · MLS #7313914 Listed at $195,999, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,692 sq ft. Listed 14% below the ALEX valuation; 16% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 17% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187457195/277-Louisa-LN-Jarrell-TX Lower-middle quartile: $226,000 to $260,000 300 Sleep Hollow, Jarrell TX 76537 · MLS #1171766 Listed at $249,990, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,372 sq ft. Listed 9% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 14% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1180225001/300-Sleep-Hollow-Jarrell-TX Upper-middle quartile: $260,000 to $292,000 528 Old Western PASS, Jarrell TX 76537 · MLS #7409772 Listed at $270,779, 5 bed, 3 bath, 2,609 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; 27% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 12% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185652847/528-Old-Western-PASS-Jarrell-TX Upper quartile: $292,000 and up 144 Baby Calf Roping RD, Jarrell TX 76537 · MLS #3128268 Listed at $293,400, 6 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,349 sq ft. Listed 6% below the ALEX valuation; 27% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 6% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182521994/144-Baby-Calf-Roping-RD-Jarrell-TX

Key figures · Jarrell · October 2026

Source: Unlock MLS, October 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

All Jarrell market figures and ALEX agents

What is the true cost of an entry-level home in Jarrell right now? For buyers looking at the bottom quartile of prices, the median sale price was $230,499 across 51 closed sales in October. This figure represents the most affordable tier of the local market, yet current financing costs significantly impact monthly payments. ALEX Intelligence applied a payment-to-price affordability model using the median entry-level price and the prevailing mortgage rate of 7.24% from the Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey dated October 29, 2026. The data includes buydown scenarios where a 3-2-1 buydown costs $9,192 (3.72% of the median price) and a 2-1 buydown costs $4,668 (1.89% of the median price). These figures illustrate the financial tools available to offset the high interest rate environment for entry-level buyers. The data shows that while the median price for entry-level homes has shifted compared to last year, the high interest rate environment remains the primary constraint on buying power. Buyers in this segment are effectively paying a premium for financing, which reduces the total home price they can qualify for compared to lower-rate periods. The current market activity indicates 51 closed sales in this tier, suggesting steady demand despite the elevated cost of borrowing. This analysis relies strictly on observed transaction data and standard mortgage calculations. It does not account for property taxes, insurance, or homeowner association fees which vary by specific neighborhood. The figures provided are estimates based on the median entry-level price and current market rates, not individual appraisals or loan guarantees. Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
MIT, Nvidia, Google, AWS & IBM-Trained. Cross-Domain Expert. Castor Venture Club.
Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et al.
Texas License #574878-B · Texas Broker License #565194-BB
Broker · North Carolina License #367733
Independent Broker · Colorado License #II.100112456
Broker · Alabama License #000178406
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
Join any of our 46 LinkedIn Groups spanning Quantum, AI and Tennessee to Texas.
Follow one or all of our 106 greater Austin communities, cities and counties on our Blog.
TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, October 2026, n=51
Cover photo: Jarrell City Hall by Larry D. Moore, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
View this home on alex.realestateDownload the PDFDownload the videoSchedule a showing
Slide 1Slide 2Slide 3Slide 4Slide 5Slide 6Slide 7Slide 8Slide 9Slide 10Slide 11
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov