Sun City Texas September Market Recap and Outlook

Sun City Texas saw its median home price drop to $340,000 in September, a 9.3% decrease from the prior month and an 11.7% decline compared to last year. Despite this cooling in pricing, sales volume remained consistent with August, with 59 homes closing at a median of $340,000. This marks the third consecutive month where closed sales matched the previous month's count, stabilizing after the volatility seen earlier in the year. The time it took to sell a home increased significantly, with the median days on market rising to 53 days, up 35.9% from August and 8.2% higher than last September. Sellers are increasingly accepting offers below their original list prices; 86.4% of homes sold for less than the asking price, a share that has grown by 6.1 percentage points since August. The median close-to-original-list ratio slipped to 0.947, indicating buyers have gained leverage in negotiations. Inventory levels remain tight with 112 active listings and approximately 1.96 months of supply, keeping the market in a seller-favorable classification despite the price adjustments. New construction activity was limited, with only four new homes closing this month compared to three in August. The average home size sold decreased to 1,712 square feet, down from 1,888 square feet in the prior period. ALEX Intelligence analyzed the 24-month trend to contextualize these figures. While prices are lower than the peaks seen in late 2025 and early 2026, the current median remains below the $385,000 level recorded in September 2025. The market is currently defined by price corrections rather than a lack of demand, as sales volume has held steady while prices adjust to current mortgage rates of 7.24%. Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog