Cedar Park Monthly Recap and Outlook: September 2026

Deal of the Week

606 Prize Oaks DR, Cedar Park TX 78613
Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $380,000 606 Prize Oaks DR, Cedar Park TX 78613 · MLS #1424458 Listed at $370,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,726 sq ft. Listed 2% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 5% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186059742/606-Prize-Oaks-DR-Cedar-Park-TX Lower-middle quartile: $380,000 to $494,000 104 Outpost CV, Cedar Park TX 78613 · MLS #4140115 Listed at $419,000, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,036 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; 4% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 14% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1180007067/104-Outpost-CV-Cedar-Park-TX Upper-middle quartile: $494,000 to $635,000 2310 McKendrick DR, Cedar Park TX 78613 · MLS #6625998 Listed at $599,000, 5 bed, 3 bath, 4,321 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; 35% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 9% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1188749586/2310-McKendrick-DR-Cedar-Park-TX Upper quartile: $635,000 and up 2906 Post River RD, Cedar Park TX 78613 · MLS #3651203 Listed at $750,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 2,240 sq ft. Listed 29% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 40% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1177281600/2906-Post-River-RD-Cedar-Park-TX

Key figures · Cedar Park · September 2026

Source: Unlock MLS, September 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

All Cedar Park market figures and ALEX agents

Cedar Park saw median home prices drop to $436,969 in September, down 9.9% from the same month last year across 56 closed sales. This marks a significant cooling compared to the previous month, where the median price was $500,000. The market also slowed on the supply side, with only 54 new listings entering the market against 56 closings, while active inventory sits at 199 homes. Days on market extended to a median of 51 days, up 21.4% from September 2025 and 50% longer than in August. Buyers are negotiating more aggressively; the median close-to-original list ratio fell to 0.945. This is a shift from the prior month when sellers received 96.3% of their list price. The current mortgage rate stands at 7.32%, according to the Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey for the week of October 22, 2026. At this rate and a median price of $436,969, a buyer with a down payment faces a principal and interest payment of $2,401 monthly. A 3-2-1 buydown would cost approximately $16,260 to reduce that initial payment by over $600 in the first year. Looking ahead, the market remains balanced but leans toward buyers given the rising inventory and longer selling times. The 2.52 months of supply indicates a shift away from the seller's pace seen earlier in the year. While activity remains steady with 56 sales, the downward pressure on prices suggests continued negotiation leverage for purchasers entering the market this fall. Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
MIT, Nvidia, Google, AWS & IBM-Trained. Cross-Domain Expert. Castor Venture Club.
Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et al.
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Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, September 2026, n=56
Cover photo: John M. King Log House, Cedar Park by Slamforeman, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
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Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
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