| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
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Spicewood Entry-Level Homes: Affordability Check
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-29
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $520,000
2304 Kellie Brooke RD # 12, Spicewood TX 78669 · MLS #9525359
Listed at $360,000, 3 bed, 3 bath, 2,565 sq ft. Listed 14% below the ALEX valuation; 48% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 20% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185502020/2304-Kellie-Brooke-RD-12-Spicewood-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $520,000 to $672,000
22419 Hazy Hollow CV, Spicewood TX 78669 · MLS #5990516
Listed at $649,900, 3 bed, 1 bath, 1,553 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 20% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1179666316/22419-Hazy-Hollow-CV-Spicewood-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $672,000 to $1,000,000
124 Rees Landing RD, Spicewood TX 78669 · MLS #8559296
Listed at $730,000, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 3,128 sq ft. Listed 9% below the ALEX valuation; 16% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 9% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183588062/124-Rees-Landing-RD-Spicewood-TX
Upper quartile: $1,000,000 and up
3405 Bee Creek RD, Spicewood TX 78669 · MLS #4814566
Listed at $1,099,000, 5 bed, 4.5 bath, 4,800 sq ft. Listed 31% below the ALEX valuation; 14% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 39% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1177649313/3405-Bee-Creek-RD-Spicewood-TX
Key figures · Spicewood · September 2026
- 30 homes sold in Spicewood in September 2026 (up 76.5% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $638,750 (down 14.8% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $255.
- Median days on market: 101.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 90.9%.
- 219 homes for sale now, about 8.0 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, September 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
What does it take to buy an entry-level home in Spicewood today? With the median closing price at $638,750 across 30 closed sales in September, the bottom quartile of homes defines the current affordability threshold. ALEX Intelligence analyzed this segment against current financing costs to determine the real cost of entry.
Using a standard down payment and the current Freddie Mac rate of 7.32%, the monthly principal and interest payment for an entry-level purchase sits at $3,510. This figure represents the baseline cash flow required before taxes or insurance. The data shows that while the median price has remained flat month-over-month, it is down 14.8% compared to September of last year, suggesting a shift in pricing dynamics for this tier.
The sample size for this analysis includes 30 closed transactions, ensuring the median reflects current market conditions rather than outliers. Buyers looking at the entry level should note that homes are selling for roughly 91% of their original list price, with 83% of sales closing below the initial asking amount. This indicates that while prices have softened from last year, negotiation room still exists for qualified buyers in this segment.
The current market environment requires careful budgeting, as the median home size has also decreased by 10.5% compared to the prior period, meaning entry-level buyers are often purchasing smaller footprints at these price points. Understanding these specific metrics helps distinguish between headline prices and actual monthly affordability for first-time or budget-conscious purchasers in Spicewood.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, September 2026, n=30
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










