| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
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Spicewood New Listings vs. Closings: The Supply Gap
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-27
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $520,000
2304 Kellie Brooke RD # 12, Spicewood TX 78669 · MLS #9525359
Listed at $360,000, 3 bed, 3 bath, 2,565 sq ft. Listed 14% below the ALEX valuation; 48% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 20% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185502020/2304-Kellie-Brooke-RD-12-Spicewood-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $520,000 to $672,000
22419 Hazy Hollow CV, Spicewood TX 78669 · MLS #5990516
Listed at $649,900, 3 bed, 1 bath, 1,553 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 20% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1179666316/22419-Hazy-Hollow-CV-Spicewood-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $672,000 to $1,000,000
124 Rees Landing RD, Spicewood TX 78669 · MLS #8559296
Listed at $730,000, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 3,128 sq ft. Listed 9% below the ALEX valuation; 16% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 9% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183588062/124-Rees-Landing-RD-Spicewood-TX
Upper quartile: $1,000,000 and up
3405 Bee Creek RD, Spicewood TX 78669 · MLS #4814566
Listed at $1,099,000, 5 bed, 4.5 bath, 4,800 sq ft. Listed 31% below the ALEX valuation; 14% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 39% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1177649313/3405-Bee-Creek-RD-Spicewood-TX
Key figures · Spicewood · September 2026
- 29 homes sold in Spicewood in September 2026 (up 70.6% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $612,500 (down 18.3% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $262.
- Median days on market: 100.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 90.9%.
- 221 homes for sale now, about 8.1 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, September 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Spicewood saw 37 new listings enter the market in September while 29 homes closed, creating a supply gap where new inventory outpaced sales. This dynamic contributed to 221 active listings currently on the market, representing 8.1 months of inventory based on the trailing monthly closing rate.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed the flow of supply and demand by comparing the 37 new listings against the 29 closed sales for the month. While new supply increased compared to August's 38 listings, the volume of closings rose 26.1% from the prior month, narrowing the gap slightly but leaving inventory levels elevated. The median days on market stretched to 100 days, up 61.3% from September 2025, indicating that despite new supply, homes are taking longer to sell.
The current stock of 221 active listings suggests a buyer-favorable environment where demand is not keeping pace with the rate of new entries and existing inventory. With 29 closed sales in September, the market absorbed roughly one-third of the new supply added that month, leaving a net increase in available homes for buyers to choose from.
This analysis relies on Unlock MLS data for September 2026, covering 29 closed transactions and 37 new listings. The sample size of 29 closed sales meets the minimum threshold for reliable monthly trend analysis.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales and listing activity, September 2026, n=29 closed; n=37 new listings
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










