Pflugerville Market Heat Score: October 2026 Analysis

Deal of the Week

17906 Yellow Warbler WAY, Pflugerville TX 78660
Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $334,000 17906 Yellow Warbler WAY, Pflugerville TX 78660 · MLS #6175739 Listed at $329,999, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,269 sq ft. Listed 14% below the ALEX valuation; 22% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 14% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187034641/17906-Yellow-Warbler-WAY-Pflugerville-TX Lower-middle quartile: $334,000 to $380,000 16805 Bridgefarmer BLVD, Pflugerville TX 78660 · MLS #4683331 Listed at $349,350, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,574 sq ft. Listed 9% below the ALEX valuation; 28% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 12% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185144321/16805-Bridgefarmer-BLVD-Pflugerville-TX Upper-middle quartile: $380,000 to $461,000 18305 Lake Edge CT, Pflugerville TX 78660 · MLS #7773562 Listed at $409,999, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 3,156 sq ft. Listed 9% below the ALEX valuation; 30% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 14% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184380627/18305-Lake-Edge-CT-Pflugerville-TX Upper quartile: $461,000 and up 1105 Clemson CV, Pflugerville TX 78660 · MLS #8126885 Listed at $474,899, 5 bed, 3.5 bath, 4,014 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; 36% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 9% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1180726898/1105-Clemson-CV-Pflugerville-TX

Key figures · Pflugerville · September 2026

Source: Unlock MLS, September 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

All Pflugerville market figures and ALEX agents

Is the Pflugerville market heating up or cooling down? The ALEX Intelligence Market Heat Score synthesizes four key indicators—median days on market, sale-to-list ratio, inventory levels, and price reductions—to provide a single metric ranging from 0 to 100. In September 2026, the score reflects a balanced environment where neither buyers nor sellers hold a decisive advantage. The composite index weighs median days on market at 30%, the sale-to-list ratio at 30%, months of inventory at 25%, and the share of price cuts at 15%. Based on 110 closed sales, the median home sold for $370,749, which is a 2.8% increase from August but 7.0% lower than September 2025. Homes took an average of 62 days to sell, up 8.8% from the prior month yet down 11.4% compared to last year. Inventory stands at 4.48 months, indicating a shift toward balance as supply increases relative to demand. The median sale-to-list ratio improved slightly to 95.1%, with only 77.3% of homes selling below their original list price, down from 83.3% in August. These metrics combined suggest that while prices remain resilient, the pace of sales has moderated compared to the peak activity seen earlier in the year. ALEX Intelligence estimate, not an appraisal. The data covers the trailing 12-month window ending September 2026 for Tier A analysis. Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
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Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, September 2026, n=110
Cover photo: New homes under construction, Pflugerville by KevinMoralesRealtor, CC0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
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Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
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