Lakeway Inventory: Is It a Buyer's Market?
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-12
Deal of the Week

This week's 5 best values under $1,000,000, ranked by the ALEX deal score:
1. 15403 Gebron DR, Lakeway TX 78734 · MLS #9483442
Listed at $200,000, 3 bed, 1 bath, 1,296 sq ft. Listed 31% below the ALEX valuation; 45% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 33% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1172890310/15403-Gebron-DR-Lakeway-TX
2. 113 Indian Bend DR, Lakeway TX 78734 · MLS #6681889
Listed at $699,000, 3 bed, 4 bath, 2,833 sq ft. Listed 6% below the ALEX valuation; 12% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 12% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183311971/113-Indian-Bend-DR-Lakeway-TX
3. 406 Hazeltine DR, Lakeway TX 78734 · MLS #7591154
Listed at $614,999, 3 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,752 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; 13% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 9% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1180256543/406-Hazeltine-DR-Lakeway-TX
4. 1918 Lakeway BLVD, Lakeway TX 78734 · MLS #1155664
Listed at $759,000, 5 bed, 3.5 bath, 3,051 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; 5% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 8% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1180849462/1918-Lakeway-BLVD-Lakeway-TX
5. 124 Firebird ST, Lakeway TX 78734 · MLS #3183863
Listed at $632,000, 3 bed, 3 bath, 2,256 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 16% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186151462/124-Firebird-ST-Lakeway-TX
Is the Lakeway market shifting toward buyers? The answer lies in the months of inventory metric, which currently stands at 4.86 months based on 136 active listings and 25 closed sales in September. This figure represents the time it would take to sell all current homes at the current sales pace.
In real estate analysis, a market is generally considered balanced when inventory sits between 4 and 6 months. Lakeway falls squarely within this range, indicating neither a severe shortage of homes for buyers nor a glut that forces sellers to slash prices drastically. While the median sale price of $675,000 is down 8.8% compared to September 2025, the market remains stable rather than crashing.
The days on market have increased by 35.7% from August, rising to a median of 57 days, suggesting buyers are taking more time to decide. However, this is still significantly faster than the 114-day median seen in September 2025. With 25 closed sales providing a solid sample size for the month, the data confirms that Lakeway has moved from a seller-favorable environment into a balanced one where negotiation power is shared between buyers and sellers.
ALEX Intelligence calculates this balance by dividing the total active inventory by the average monthly sales volume over the trailing 12 months. This metric helps determine whether a buyer should act quickly or wait for more options to appear on the market.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker.
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al.
Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB
Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733
Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales and active listings, September 2026, n=25 closed; inventory data as of Oct 12, 2026.
Cover photo: Lake Travis Community Library, Lakeway by Larry D. Moore, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov









