| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
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Lago Vista Seasonality: When to List for Best Results
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-31
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $343,000
20707 Greenpark DR, Lago Vista TX 78645 · MLS #6525469
Listed at $209,900, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,812 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; 44% under the local price per sq ft.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187774427/20707-Greenpark-DR-Lago-Vista-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $343,000 to $415,000
7312 White Oak DR, Lago Vista TX 78645 · MLS #2601754
Listed at $410,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,845 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 7% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187553240/7312-White-Oak-DR-Lago-Vista-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $415,000 to $602,000
20102 Coolidge LN, Lago Vista TX 78645 · MLS #7683255
Listed at $439,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,158 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 9% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187794677/20102-Coolidge-LN-Lago-Vista-TX
Upper quartile: $602,000 and up
2905 Newton DR, Lago Vista TX 78645 · MLS #8385647
Listed at $895,000, 5 bed, 2.5 bath, 3,246 sq ft. Listed 13% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 25% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185691020/2905-Newton-DR-Lago-Vista-TX
Key figures · Lago Vista · September 2026
- 13 homes sold in Lago Vista in September 2026 (down 45.8% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $368,000 (down 5.0% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $204.
- Median days on market: 64.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 90.8%.
- 194 homes for sale now, about 6.5 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, September 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
When is the best time to list a home in Lago Vista? An analysis of 24 months of closed sales reveals a distinct seasonal pattern where activity and prices fluctuate predictably throughout the year.
ALEX Intelligence applied seasonal decomposition to historical data from October 2024 through September 2026 to identify these trends. The data shows that June is historically the strongest month for both volume and price, with 29 homes closing at a median of $500,000. This represents a significant peak compared to other months; for instance, February typically sees only 11 closings with a median price of $389,000.
The market also shows a clear shift in volume. While October and November often see lower activity, the spring months from March through June consistently drive higher transaction counts. Sellers listing during this window may benefit from increased buyer competition, though prices can be volatile month-to-month. Conversely, winter months like January and February tend to have fewer sales and slightly lower median prices.
Understanding these cycles helps sellers time their listings for maximum exposure and potential value. While current market conditions in September show 13 closings at a median of $368,000, the long-term data suggests that patience can pay off if a seller is not under immediate pressure to move.
The seasonal decomposition highlights that timing remains a critical factor in the Lago Vista market, with summer months offering the highest activity and price points over the last two years.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, September 2026, n=13
Cover photo: Warbler Vista, Lago Vista by Toniklemm, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










