Lago Vista: New Listings Outpace Closings in September

Deal of the Week

20707 Greenpark DR, Lago Vista TX 78645
Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $343,000 20707 Greenpark DR, Lago Vista TX 78645 · MLS #6525469 Listed at $209,900, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,812 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; 44% under the local price per sq ft. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187774427/20707-Greenpark-DR-Lago-Vista-TX Lower-middle quartile: $343,000 to $415,000 7312 White Oak DR, Lago Vista TX 78645 · MLS #2601754 Listed at $410,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,845 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 7% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187553240/7312-White-Oak-DR-Lago-Vista-TX Upper-middle quartile: $415,000 to $602,000 20102 Coolidge LN, Lago Vista TX 78645 · MLS #7683255 Listed at $439,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,158 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 9% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187794677/20102-Coolidge-LN-Lago-Vista-TX Upper quartile: $602,000 and up 2905 Newton DR, Lago Vista TX 78645 · MLS #8385647 Listed at $895,000, 5 bed, 2.5 bath, 3,246 sq ft. Listed 13% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 25% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185691020/2905-Newton-DR-Lago-Vista-TX

Key figures · Lago Vista · September 2026

Source: Unlock MLS, September 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

All Lago Vista market figures and ALEX agents

In September 2026, Lago Vista saw 33 new listings enter the market while only 13 homes closed, creating a clear supply gap where new inventory outpaced sales. This imbalance contributed to 6.4 months of inventory on hand as of month-end, calculated by dividing the active listings by the monthly closing rate. ALEX Intelligence analyzed the dual-axis trend of new supply versus demand to determine market balance. The data shows that while 33 properties were added to the market, the 13 closed sales represent a slower absorption rate compared to the prior month's 20 closings and last year's 24. This divergence suggests that buyers are taking longer to finalize purchases or that new supply is entering faster than it can be absorbed. The median closing price for these 13 transactions was $368,000, down 12.4% from the prior month and 5.0% lower than September 2025. Despite the price dip, the number of days on market remained steady at 64 days, matching the previous period but dropping 29.7% compared to last year. The ratio of final sale price to original list price was 90.8%, indicating that buyers negotiated below asking prices in more than eight out of ten sales. This supply gap highlights a shift where sellers are listing at a higher rate than the current pace of closings can absorb, potentially extending the time homes remain available for purchase. Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
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Partner, ALEX Companies
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Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales and listing activity, September 2026, n=13 closed; n=33 new listings
Cover photo: Warbler Vista, Lago Vista by Toniklemm, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
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Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
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