| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
| Partner, ALEX Companies |
| Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC |
| Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL |
| [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951 |
| TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice |
Horseshoe Bay Inventory Signals a Buyer's Market
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-12
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $432,000
2606 Deep CYN, Horseshoe Bay TX 78657 · MLS #3057421
Listed at $419,000, 2 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,581 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 15% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 5% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186233170/2606-Deep-CYN-Horseshoe-Bay-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $432,000 to $710,000
104 Comanche Agate, Horseshoe Bay TX 78657 · MLS #5648492
Listed at $499,000, 3 bed, 3 bath, 2,355 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 32% under the local price per sq ft.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1190756494/104-Comanche-Agate-Horseshoe-Bay-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $710,000 to $1,304,000
104 Smugglers CV, Horseshoe Bay TX 78657 · MLS #3420939
Listed at $999,000, 4 bed, 3 bath, 3,160 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 6% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1179672128/104-Smugglers-CV-Horseshoe-Bay-TX
Upper quartile: $1,304,000 and up
106 Edwards CIR, Horseshoe Bay TX 78657 · MLS #7175538
Listed at $1,749,000, 3 bed, 4.5 bath, 3,410 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 5% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1180780417/106-Edwards-CIR-Horseshoe-Bay-TX
Key figures · Horseshoe Bay · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026
- 78 homes sold in Horseshoe Bay in the 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026 (up 9.9% on a year earlier).
- Median net sale price: $803,750 (down 9.6% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $298.
- Median days on market: 118.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 90.6%.
- 172 homes for sale now, about 9.9 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Single-family homes; prices net of seller-paid concessions, the same figures as the ALEX market statistics pages. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
How many months of homes are available for sale in Horseshoe Bay right now? The answer is 9.92 months, a figure calculated by dividing the 172 active listings by the average monthly sales pace of roughly 17 homes over the last six months. This level of supply clearly indicates a buyer's market, where inventory exceeds the typical six-month threshold for balanced conditions and pushes significantly toward buyer advantage.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed the relationship between current stock and recent sales velocity to determine this classification. In a buyer's market, sellers often face longer days on market and must compete more aggressively on price. The data supports this dynamic: median days on market have risen to 118 days compared to 94 days in the same period last year, while the median sale price has dropped 15.4% from the prior six-month period to $803,750.
The shift is evident in negotiation outcomes as well. Currently, 91% of homes sold below their original list price, a higher share than the 85.5% seen in the previous six months. This trend suggests that buyers have increased leverage to negotiate concessions or lower prices. While the median price per square foot remains high at $298.47, the combination of abundant inventory and reduced sale-to-list ratios creates a favorable environment for purchasers looking to move in the coming months.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=78
Cover photo: Lake LBJ at Horseshoe Bay by Eric Polk, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










