| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
| Partner, ALEX Companies |
| Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC |
| Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL |
| [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951 |
| TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice |
Horseshoe Bay List-to-Sale Ratios Drop to 90.6%
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-11
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $432,000
2606 Deep CYN, Horseshoe Bay TX 78657 · MLS #3057421
Listed at $419,000, 2 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,581 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 15% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 5% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186233170/2606-Deep-CYN-Horseshoe-Bay-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $432,000 to $710,000
104 Comanche Agate, Horseshoe Bay TX 78657 · MLS #5648492
Listed at $499,000, 3 bed, 3 bath, 2,355 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 32% under the local price per sq ft.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1190756494/104-Comanche-Agate-Horseshoe-Bay-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $710,000 to $1,304,000
104 Smugglers CV, Horseshoe Bay TX 78657 · MLS #3420939
Listed at $999,000, 4 bed, 3 bath, 3,160 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 6% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1179672128/104-Smugglers-CV-Horseshoe-Bay-TX
Upper quartile: $1,304,000 and up
106 Edwards CIR, Horseshoe Bay TX 78657 · MLS #7175538
Listed at $1,749,000, 3 bed, 4.5 bath, 3,410 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 5% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1180780417/106-Edwards-CIR-Horseshoe-Bay-TX
Key figures · Horseshoe Bay · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026
- 78 homes sold in Horseshoe Bay in the 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026 (up 9.9% on a year earlier).
- Median net sale price: $803,750 (down 9.6% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $298.
- Median days on market: 118.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 90.6%.
- 172 homes for sale now, about 9.9 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Single-family homes; prices net of seller-paid concessions, the same figures as the ALEX market statistics pages. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Horseshoe Bay buyers are now negotiating homes for roughly 90.6% of the original asking price. In the rolling six months ending October 31, 2026, the median close-to-original list ratio settled at 0.906 across 78 closed sales. This represents a 1.5% drop from the prior six-month period and a 2.2% decline compared to the same window last year.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed the pricing dynamics to show how sellers are adjusting to current demand. The median sale price of $803,750 is down 15.4% from the previous six months and 9.6% lower than a year ago. While homes are selling for less relative to their list prices, the time on market has actually improved; the median days on market fell to 118 days, a 19.2% decrease from the prior period.
The data indicates that price reductions are becoming standard practice. In this six-month window, 91% of closed sales sold below their original list price, up from 85.5% previously. The median price per square foot also declined to $298.47, down 17.8% from the prior period. These figures reflect a market where initial listing prices are being calibrated more closely to final transaction values.
The analysis covers single-family homes with prices net of seller-paid concessions. With 172 active listings and 78 sales over six months, the market is absorbing inventory at a steady pace despite the price corrections.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=78
Cover photo: Lake LBJ at Horseshoe Bay by Eric Polk, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










