| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
| Partner, ALEX Companies |
| Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC |
| Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL |
| [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951 |
| TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice |
Horseshoe Bay: 10 Months of Inventory Signals Buyer Market
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-10
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $432,000
2606 Deep CYN, Horseshoe Bay TX 78657 · MLS #3057421
Listed at $419,000, 2 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,581 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 15% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 5% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186233170/2606-Deep-CYN-Horseshoe-Bay-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $432,000 to $710,000
104 Comanche Agate, Horseshoe Bay TX 78657 · MLS #5648492
Listed at $499,000, 3 bed, 3 bath, 2,355 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 32% under the local price per sq ft.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1190756494/104-Comanche-Agate-Horseshoe-Bay-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $710,000 to $1,304,000
104 Smugglers CV, Horseshoe Bay TX 78657 · MLS #3420939
Listed at $999,000, 4 bed, 3 bath, 3,160 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 6% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1179672128/104-Smugglers-CV-Horseshoe-Bay-TX
Upper quartile: $1,304,000 and up
106 Edwards CIR, Horseshoe Bay TX 78657 · MLS #7175538
Listed at $1,749,000, 3 bed, 4.5 bath, 3,410 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 5% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1180780417/106-Edwards-CIR-Horseshoe-Bay-TX
Key figures · Horseshoe Bay · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026
- 78 homes sold in Horseshoe Bay in the 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026 (up 9.9% on a year earlier).
- Median net sale price: $803,750 (down 9.6% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $298.
- Median days on market: 118.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 90.6%.
- 176 homes for sale now, about 10.2 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Single-family homes; prices net of seller-paid concessions, the same figures as the ALEX market statistics pages. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Horseshoe Bay currently holds 10.15 months of inventory, a figure that firmly classifies the market as favoring buyers. This metric is calculated by dividing the 176 active listings on hand today by the average monthly sales pace of roughly 17 homes derived from the 104 closed sales over the last six months. When inventory exceeds six months, buyers gain leverage in negotiations and have more time to find a home that fits their needs without rushing.
The data supports this shift: median closing prices fell 15.4% compared to the prior six-month period, dropping from $950,000 to $803,750 across 78 closed sales. Homes are also selling for less relative to their original list price, with the close-to-original ratio slipping to 90.6%. Furthermore, 91% of homes sold below their original asking price, a significant increase from the 85.5% seen in the previous period.
While the market remains active with 78 closed sales in the trailing six months, the extended time on market reflects this balance. The median days on market stands at 118 days, which is 25.5% longer than the same window last year but still 19.2% shorter than the prior six-month period. This combination of high inventory and price adjustments defines the current buyer's market environment in Horseshoe Bay.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=78
Cover photo: Lake LBJ at Horseshoe Bay by Eric Polk, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










