Horseshoe Bay vs. Neighbors: A Price and Speed Comparison

Deal of the Week

Deal of the Week · 611 Sun Ray, Horseshoe Bay TX 78657 · MLS #7727665 · Listed by Horseshoe Bay Resort Realty. ALEX valuation $383,000 is an ALEX Intelligence estimate, not an appraisal.

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $432,000 611 Sun Ray, Horseshoe Bay TX 78657 · MLS #7727665 Listed at $398,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,668 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 24% under the local price per sq ft. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1190495614/611-Sun-Ray-Horseshoe-Bay-TX Lower-middle quartile: $432,000 to $710,000 316 Sweet Grass, Horseshoe Bay TX 78657 · MLS #5852702 Listed at $579,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 2,235 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 17% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 2% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186785375/316-Sweet-Grass-Horseshoe-Bay-TX Upper-middle quartile: $710,000 to $1,292,000 101 Fox Fur, Horseshoe Bay TX 78657 · MLS #2958927 Listed at $749,000, 3 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,544 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 12% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184713141/101-Fox-Fur-Horseshoe-Bay-TX Upper quartile: $1,292,000 and up 102 Still Water, Horseshoe Bay TX 78657 · MLS #1253053 Listed at $1,348,050, 3 bed, 3.5 bath, 3,135 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 10% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187125263/102-Still-Water-Horseshoe-Bay-TX

Key figures · Horseshoe Bay · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026

103 homes sold in Horseshoe Bay in the 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026 (up 6.2% on a year earlier).

Median sale price: $700,000 (down 7.5% on a year earlier).

Median price per square foot: $295.

Median days on market: 80.

Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 90.7%.

182 homes for sale now, about 10.6 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.

Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Horseshoe Bay buyers and sellers are navigating a market where prices have cooled significantly compared to the broader region. Over the rolling six months ending October 31, 2026, the median closed price in Horseshoe Bay reached $700,000 across 103 sales. This figure is 7.5% lower than the same period last year and remains well above the regional median of $403,000. When comparing performance against neighbors, the data reveals distinct differences in speed and pricing power. Homes in Horseshoe Bay spent a median of 80 days on market, matching the regional average of 57 days only in terms of duration but lagging behind the faster-moving regional pace. However, the price per square foot tells a different story; at $295, it is substantially higher than the regional benchmark of $205. The relationship between list and sale prices also diverges. In Horseshoe Bay, homes sold for 90.7% of their original list price, compared to 93.9% across the region. This indicates that while buyers in the broader area are paying closer to asking, those in Horseshoe Bay are negotiating more aggressively, with 93.2% of sales closing below the original list price. ALEX Intelligence analyzed these comparative figures to highlight how local inventory dynamics differ from the wider Unlock MLS region. While the regional market shows a median contract-to-close time that is not currently available for this specific page, the extended days on market in Horseshoe Bay suggest a slower absorption rate relative to the volume of new listings. The data underscores that while Horseshoe Bay commands a premium per square foot, it operates under different supply and demand conditions than the surrounding counties, with a higher share of transactions requiring price reductions to close. Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog

George Arnold Alexander III, MPA

MIT, Nvidia, Google, AWS & IBM-Trained. Cross-Domain Expert. Castor Venture Club.

Partner, ALEX Companies

Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et al.

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