| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
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Horseshoe Bay Housing Market: Six Months Ending Sep 30, 2026
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-20
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $431,000
603 Sun Ray, Horseshoe Bay TX 78657 · MLS #1346658
Listed at $354,750, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,632 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 31% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 6% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1175110389/603-Sun-Ray-Horseshoe-Bay-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $431,000 to $735,000
707 Broken HLS, Horseshoe Bay TX 78657 · MLS #9355753
Listed at $699,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,818 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 21% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 5% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183994534/707-Broken-HLS-Horseshoe-Bay-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $735,000 to $1,304,000
103 Stillwater, Horseshoe Bay TX 78657 · MLS #7595062
Listed at $999,000, 3 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,959 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1177500772/103-Stillwater-Horseshoe-Bay-TX
Upper quartile: $1,304,000 and up
402 Lighthouse DR, Horseshoe Bay TX 78657 · MLS #9735758
Listed at $5,150,000, 4 bed, 5 bath, 6,737 sq ft. Listed 20% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 9% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1178999308/402-Lighthouse-DR-Horseshoe-Bay-TX
Key figures · Horseshoe Bay · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026
- 101 homes sold in Horseshoe Bay in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (up 6.3% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $785,000 (down 1.3% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $301.
- Median days on market: 77.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 91.6%.
- 187 homes for sale now, about 11.1 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Horseshoe Bay recorded 101 closed home sales in the rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026, at a median close price of $785,000. The median close price was down 1.3% from the same period last year and up 12.9% from the period before. The median price per square foot was $301.
Homes that sold spent a median of 77 days on the market. Median days on market was down 1.3% from the same period last year and down 40.8% from the period before. The median sale closed at 91.6% of its original list price, and 92.1% of sales closed below their original list price.
177 new listings came on the market in the same window. Today 187 homes are listed for sale, 11.11 months of inventory at the pace of the last six months (101 closings). The most active subdivisions were Horseshoe Bay Proper (24 sales, median $657,500) and Horseshoe Bay West (21 sales, median $800,000).
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=101
Cover photo: Lake LBJ at Horseshoe Bay by Eric Polk, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










