Horseshoe Bay Home Sizes Are Shrinking Slightly
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-18
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $435,000
104 Springfield, Horseshoe Bay TX 78657 · MLS #2853973
Listed at $399,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,999 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 18% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 3% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182517946/104-Springfield-Horseshoe-Bay-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $435,000 to $728,000
100 W Up There, Horseshoe Bay TX 78657 · MLS #4924482
Listed at $515,000, 4 bed, 2 bath, 2,471 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 34% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 10% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182521222/100-W-Up-There-Horseshoe-Bay-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $728,000 to $1,296,000
101 Third Sid W, Horseshoe Bay TX 78657 · MLS #2379325
Listed at $1,200,000, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,442 sq ft. Listed 0% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 20% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185658616/101-Third-Sid-W-Horseshoe-Bay-TX
Upper quartile: $1,296,000 and up
111 Orange Plume, Horseshoe Bay TX 78657 · MLS #4141197
Listed at $2,995,000, 4 bed, 4.5 bath, 5,389 sq ft. Listed 24% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 16% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1177444638/111-Orange-Plume-Horseshoe-Bay-TX
Key figures · Horseshoe Bay · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026
- 101 homes sold in Horseshoe Bay in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (up 6.3% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $785,000 (down 1.3% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $301.
- Median days on market: 77.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 91.6%.
- 186 homes for sale now, about 11.1 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Horseshoe Bay buyers are seeing a slight shift toward smaller homes. The median living area across 101 closed sales in the rolling six months ending September 30, 2026, is 2,529 square feet. This represents a 5.1% increase compared to the prior six-month period but a 0.8% decrease compared to the same window last year when the median was 2,550 square feet.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed the size trends for this community to track how home dimensions are evolving over time. While the current median is slightly larger than it was in the previous six months, the long-term trend shows a modest contraction compared to the prior year's figures. The median price per square foot also adjusted during this period, falling 9.6% from the prior window and 5.6% from the same time last year, suggesting that size changes are influencing overall valuation dynamics.
The data indicates that while homes in Horseshoe Bay remain substantial, the average footprint is not expanding as it did previously. With a median close price of $785,000 for these properties, buyers are navigating a market where square footage is fluctuating alongside price adjustments. This trend highlights the importance of looking at size metrics alongside price to understand the true value of current listings in this 55+ community.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker.
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al.
Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB
Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733
Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=101
Cover photo: Lake LBJ at Horseshoe Bay by Eric Polk, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










