Kyle New Listings vs Closings: The Supply Gap in October

Deal of the Week

439 Arnold LOOP # A, Kyle TX 78640
Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $268,000 439 Arnold LOOP # A, Kyle TX 78640 · MLS #9504130 Listed at $189,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,339 sq ft. Listed 12% below the ALEX valuation; 19% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 12% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1188481265/439-Arnold-LOOP-A-Kyle-TX Lower-middle quartile: $268,000 to $319,000 263 Oriole ST, Kyle TX 78640 · MLS #5705212 Listed at $299,990, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,800 sq ft. Listed 9% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 19% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1172225316/263-Oriole-ST-Kyle-TX Upper-middle quartile: $319,000 to $385,000 110 Basalt BND, Kyle TX 78640 · MLS #4748475 Listed at $334,990, 5 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,585 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; 23% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 11% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187070846/110-Basalt-BND-Kyle-TX Upper quartile: $385,000 and up 314 Cypress Forest DR, Kyle TX 78640 · MLS #5362225 Listed at $439,000, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,981 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; 11% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 8% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1188738491/314-Cypress-Forest-DR-Kyle-TX

Key figures · Kyle · October 2026

Source: Unlock MLS, October 2026. Single-family homes; prices net of seller-paid concessions, the same figures as the ALEX market statistics pages. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

All Kyle market figures and ALEX agents

Kyle saw a clear divergence between new supply and actual closings in October. The market added 153 new listings while only 98 homes closed, creating a net increase in available inventory. This gap means more options for buyers but also signals that demand is not keeping pace with the rate of new entries. The median sale price dropped to $292,255, down 3.9% from September and 1.0% lower than October 2025. Homes took longer to sell as well, with the median days on market rising to 93 days, a 57.6% increase from the prior month and 45.3% higher than last year. This slowdown suggests that while new homes are hitting the market quickly, qualified buyers are taking more time to finalize purchases or negotiating harder terms. ALEX Intelligence analyzed the dual-axis trend of new listings versus closed sales to highlight this supply gap. With 153 new entries against just 98 closings, the active inventory is growing. For sellers, this environment requires competitive pricing and realistic expectations regarding time on market. Buyers now have more choices but should expect a slower pace of transactions compared to previous months. The data reflects a shift where supply outpaces demand in the short term. While new construction continues to add volume, the rate of closings has not matched the influx of new listings. This dynamic is typical of markets transitioning from high demand to a more balanced or buyer-favorable state. Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC
Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales and listing activity, October 2026, n=98 closed
Cover photo: Kyle ("Kyle Texas") by Liveon001 ©Travis Witt, CC BY-SA 3.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
View this home on alex.realestateDownload the PDFDownload the videoSchedule a showing
Slide 1Slide 2Slide 3Slide 4Slide 5Slide 6Slide 7Slide 8Slide 9Slide 10Slide 11
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov