| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
| Partner, ALEX Companies |
| Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC |
| Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL |
| [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951 |
| TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice |
Kyle Market Balance: 4.5 Months of Inventory in October
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-07
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $268,000
312 Sickle LOOP, Kyle TX 78640 · MLS #6792806
Listed at $260,000, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,327 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; 32% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 13% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1188724097/312-Sickle-LOOP-Kyle-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $268,000 to $319,000
124 Greenbelt Reservoir PASS, Kyle TX 78640 · MLS #5314966
Listed at $278,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,701 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 12% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1177360627/124-Greenbelt-Reservoir-PASS-Kyle-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $319,000 to $385,000
288 Caddo BND, Kyle TX 78640 · MLS #2744885
Listed at $320,000, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,501 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; 23% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 15% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184529142/288-Caddo-BND-Kyle-TX
Upper quartile: $385,000 and up
474 Heidenreich LN, Kyle TX 78640 · MLS #7390736
Listed at $624,900, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,680 sq ft. Listed 14% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 69% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1164460160/474-Heidenreich-LN-Kyle-TX
Key figures · Kyle · October 2026
- 99 homes sold in Kyle in October 2026 (down 2.0% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $294,867 (down 3.1% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $162.
- Median days on market: 84.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 90.9%.
- 547 homes for sale now, about 4.5 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, October 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Kyle sits at a tipping point with 4.5 months of inventory entering November. This figure represents the time required to sell all current active listings at the current monthly sales pace, calculated by dividing the 547 homes currently for sale by the average monthly closings derived from the trailing twelve months. A market is generally considered balanced when this metric falls between 4 and 6 months.
In October, 99 homes closed with a median price of $294,867, down 2% from September and 3.1% lower than October 2025. The median days on market rose to 84 days, a 47.4% increase from the prior month, indicating that properties are taking longer to sell despite the balanced inventory level. This extended time on market coincides with a median close-to-original list ratio of 90.9%, down 4.1% from September, suggesting buyers have more leverage in negotiations than earlier in the year.
The supply gap remains visible as new listings reached 137 while only 99 sales closed. While the inventory level suggests neither a severe shortage nor a glut, the rising days on market and lower sale ratios indicate that buyer demand has softened relative to the available stock. This environment favors buyers who can take their time, though sellers may need to price competitively to move homes within the current 4.5-month window.
ALEX Intelligence estimates this balance based on the ratio of active listings to trailing monthly closings, providing a clear gauge of market conditions for Kyle residents.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, October 2026, n=99
Cover photo: Kyle ("Kyle Texas") by Liveon001 ©Travis Witt, CC BY-SA 3.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










