Buda Market Heat Score: Inventory Rises in October

Deal of the Week

461 Hot Spring VLY, Buda TX 78610
Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $300,000 461 Hot Spring VLY, Buda TX 78610 · MLS #4856250 Listed at $297,900, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,779 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; 6% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 11% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1180612752/461-Hot-Spring-VLY-Buda-TX Lower-middle quartile: $300,000 to $350,000 695 Clarissa ST, Buda TX 78610 · MLS #5334411 Listed at $349,990, 4 bed, 2 bath, 2,254 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; 16% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 18% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183028639/695-Clarissa-ST-Buda-TX Upper-middle quartile: $350,000 to $420,000 679 Clarissa ST, Buda TX 78610 · MLS #9909710 Listed at $359,990, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,535 sq ft. Listed 10% below the ALEX valuation; 24% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 16% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183542178/679-Clarissa-ST-Buda-TX Upper quartile: $420,000 and up 143 Antioch Colony DR, Buda TX 78610 · MLS #4656367 Listed at $434,990, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,790 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; 16% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 16% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183555281/143-Antioch-Colony-DR-Buda-TX

Key figures · Buda · October 2026

Source: Unlock MLS, October 2026. Single-family homes; prices net of seller-paid concessions, the same figures as the ALEX market statistics pages. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

All Buda market figures and ALEX agents

What does a median price of $345,170 with 70 days on market mean for Buda buyers this month? The ALEX Intelligence Market Heat Score combines four key metrics to answer that question: median days on market, the close-to-list price ratio, inventory levels, and the share of listings with price cuts. In October, the market showed signs of cooling compared to September. Median days on market rose 52% from the prior month to 70 days, while the share of homes selling below original list dropped slightly to 80%. The median close-to-list ratio improved to 96.2%, indicating buyers are negotiating closer to asking prices than in previous months. With 433 active listings and 60 closed sales, the market now holds 5.03 months of inventory, a level that suggests a shift toward balanced conditions rather than a tight seller's market. The composite Heat Score for Buda reflects this transition. While prices remain elevated with a 4.4% year-over-year increase to $345,170, the extended time on market signals that buyers have more leverage. The score weighs these factors equally: slower sales velocity reduces the heat index, while stable pricing and moderate inventory cuts prevent a sharp decline. This data-driven assessment helps distinguish between a cooling market and one simply normalizing after a period of high demand. ALEX Intelligence estimates this Heat Score based on the October 2026 performance window using standard weighting for velocity, price retention, supply, and concessions. The result provides a single number to track market momentum without relying on subjective impressions. Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC
Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales and active listings, October 2026, n=60
Cover photo: Buda ("Buda Texas") by Liveon001 ©Travis Witt, CC BY-SA 3.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
View this home on alex.realestateDownload the PDFDownload the videoSchedule a showing
Slide 1Slide 2Slide 3Slide 4Slide 5Slide 6Slide 7Slide 8Slide 9Slide 10Slide 11
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov