Buda New Listings vs. Closings: The Supply Gap

Deal of the Week

13500 Desert Orchid DR, Buda TX 78610
Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $300,000 13500 Desert Orchid DR, Buda TX 78610 · MLS #1611613 Listed at $240,000, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,531 sq ft. Listed 15% below the ALEX valuation; 10% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 19% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1171089595/13500-Desert-Orchid-DR-Buda-TX Lower-middle quartile: $300,000 to $350,000 12717 Setting Peak LN, Buda TX 78610 · MLS #3820635 Listed at $349,990, 3 bed, 2 bath, 2,074 sq ft. Listed 9% below the ALEX valuation; 10% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 12% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184330677/12717-Setting-Peak-LN-Buda-TX Upper-middle quartile: $350,000 to $420,000 280 Middle CRK, Buda TX 78610 · MLS #1798508 Listed at $409,900, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,609 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; 12% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 13% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187650556/280-Middle-CRK-Buda-TX Upper quartile: $420,000 and up 167 Antioch Colony DR, Buda TX 78610 · MLS #9278614 Listed at $499,990, 5 bed, 3 bath, 3,096 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; 12% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 7% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182524963/167-Antioch-Colony-DR-Buda-TX

Key figures · Buda · September 2026

Source: Unlock MLS, September 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

All Buda market figures and ALEX agents

Buda's housing market is defined by a widening gap between new supply and demand. In September 2026, 121 new homes hit the market while 101 properties closed, creating a net increase in available inventory. This activity level follows a similar pattern from the prior month, where 91 new listings met 91 closings, but stands in contrast to September 2025, when only 62 new listings arrived against 100 closings. ALEX Intelligence analyzed the supply dynamics by comparing new listing counts against closed sales volumes over the trailing 12 months. The current ratio of new listings to closings suggests a gradual shift toward more balanced conditions compared to the tighter market seen in late 2025. While the number of closed sales rose 11% from August, the surge in new listings outpaced this growth, adding fresh options for buyers without immediate price pressure. The median home size also adjusted during this period, dropping to 1,912 square feet from 2,121 square feet in the prior month, indicating a shift toward smaller inventory entries. With 463 active homes currently listed, the market is absorbing new supply at a steady pace, though the volume of new listings remains the primary driver of current availability. This dual-axis view of supply and demand highlights that while sales activity is robust, the influx of new listings is the dominant factor shaping the September landscape in Buda. Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
MIT, Nvidia, Google, AWS & IBM-Trained. Cross-Domain Expert. Castor Venture Club.
Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et al.
Texas License #574878-B · Texas Broker License #565194-BB
Broker · North Carolina License #367733
Independent Broker · Colorado License #II.100112456
Broker · Alabama License #000178406
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
Join any of our 46 LinkedIn Groups spanning Quantum, AI and Tennessee to Texas.
Follow one or all of our 106 greater Austin communities, cities and counties on our Blog.
TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales and listing activity, September 2026, n=101
Cover photo: Buda ("Buda Texas") by Liveon001 ©Travis Witt, CC BY-SA 3.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
View this home on alex.realestateDownload the PDFDownload the videoSchedule a showing
Slide 1Slide 2Slide 3Slide 4Slide 5Slide 6Slide 7Slide 8Slide 9Slide 10Slide 11
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov