| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
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Buda New Listings vs. Closings: The Supply Gap
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-21
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $300,000
13500 Desert Orchid DR, Buda TX 78610 · MLS #1611613
Listed at $240,000, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,531 sq ft. Listed 15% below the ALEX valuation; 10% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 19% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1171089595/13500-Desert-Orchid-DR-Buda-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $300,000 to $350,000
12717 Setting Peak LN, Buda TX 78610 · MLS #3820635
Listed at $349,990, 3 bed, 2 bath, 2,074 sq ft. Listed 9% below the ALEX valuation; 10% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 12% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184330677/12717-Setting-Peak-LN-Buda-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $350,000 to $420,000
280 Middle CRK, Buda TX 78610 · MLS #1798508
Listed at $409,900, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,609 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; 12% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 13% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187650556/280-Middle-CRK-Buda-TX
Upper quartile: $420,000 and up
167 Antioch Colony DR, Buda TX 78610 · MLS #9278614
Listed at $499,990, 5 bed, 3 bath, 3,096 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; 12% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 7% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182524963/167-Antioch-Colony-DR-Buda-TX
Key figures · Buda · September 2026
- 101 homes sold in Buda in September 2026 (up 1.0% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $335,000 (down 1.5% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $176.
- Median days on market: 44.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 95.8%.
- 463 homes for sale now, about 5.0 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, September 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Buda's housing market is defined by a widening gap between new supply and demand. In September 2026, 121 new homes hit the market while 101 properties closed, creating a net increase in available inventory. This activity level follows a similar pattern from the prior month, where 91 new listings met 91 closings, but stands in contrast to September 2025, when only 62 new listings arrived against 100 closings.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed the supply dynamics by comparing new listing counts against closed sales volumes over the trailing 12 months. The current ratio of new listings to closings suggests a gradual shift toward more balanced conditions compared to the tighter market seen in late 2025. While the number of closed sales rose 11% from August, the surge in new listings outpaced this growth, adding fresh options for buyers without immediate price pressure.
The median home size also adjusted during this period, dropping to 1,912 square feet from 2,121 square feet in the prior month, indicating a shift toward smaller inventory entries. With 463 active homes currently listed, the market is absorbing new supply at a steady pace, though the volume of new listings remains the primary driver of current availability.
This dual-axis view of supply and demand highlights that while sales activity is robust, the influx of new listings is the dominant factor shaping the September landscape in Buda.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales and listing activity, September 2026, n=101
Cover photo: Buda ("Buda Texas") by Liveon001 ©Travis Witt, CC BY-SA 3.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










