Hays County: How List-to-Sale Ratios Shifted in September

Deal of the Week

Deal of the Week · 330 Cistern WAY, Austin TX 78737 · MLS #5357489 · Listed by Douglas Elliman Real Estate. ALEX valuation $944,000 is an ALEX Intelligence estimate, not an appraisal.

This week's 5 best values under $1,000,000, ranked by the ALEX deal score: 1. 330 Cistern WAY, Austin TX 78737 · MLS #5357489 Listed at $869,000, 4 bed, 3 bath, 3,614 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; 19% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 12% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1179832728/330-Cistern-WAY-Austin-TX 2. 160 Onion Creek LN, Driftwood TX 78619 · MLS #3109959 Listed at $849,990, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,999 sq ft. Listed 21% below the ALEX valuation; 7% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 29% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184396680/160-Onion-Creek-LN-Driftwood-TX 3. 220 Mallet CT, Austin TX 78737 · MLS #4269029 Listed at $749,000, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 3,393 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; 25% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 9% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1180571405/220-Mallet-CT-Austin-TX 4. 902 Catalina LN, Austin TX 78737 · MLS #7860779 Listed at $550,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 2,083 sq ft. Listed 10% below the ALEX valuation; 11% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 15% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184811122/902-Catalina-LN-Austin-TX 5. 117 Citrine CRST, Maxwell TX 78656 · MLS #9655062 Listed at $239,900, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,984 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; 16% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 11% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1178567660/117-Citrine-CRST-Maxwell-TX

In September, buyers in Hays County paid an average of 94.6% of the original asking price for their homes. This figure represents the median close-to-original list ratio across 309 closed sales. The ratio dipped slightly to 94.6% from 94.9% in August, a change of 0.3 percentage points. Compared to September 2025, when buyers paid 93.3%, the current ratio is up by 1.4 percentage points. The ALEX Intelligence model analyzed the relationship between original list prices and final sale prices to track this trend. While the median price per square foot rose 6.3% from August, the ability of sellers to command full asking price has softened slightly month-over-month. Currently, 84.8% of homes sold below their original list price, down from 87.1% in the prior period. This metric helps distinguish between a market where prices are rising and one where negotiation dynamics are shifting. A ratio near 95% suggests that while demand remains strong, buyers still have some leverage to negotiate below the initial sticker price. The data covers all residential sales closed in Hays County during the reporting window. Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker. George Arnold Alexander III, MPA Partner, ALEX Companies Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al. Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733 Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456 [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951