| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
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Fredericksburg: How Mortgage Rates Shape Buying Power Today
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-31
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $422,000
5386 Ranch Road 1376 # 79, Fredericksburg TX 78624 · MLS #7235162
Listed at $415,000, 2 bed, 1 bath, 390 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 2% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1176920251/5386-Ranch-Road-1376-79-Fredericksburg-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $422,000 to $595,000
237 Dudley WAY, Fredericksburg TX 78624 · MLS #3424599
Listed at $440,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,648 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 17% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 2% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182960215/237-Dudley-WAY-Fredericksburg-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $595,000 to $1,170,000
501 W Creek ST, Fredericksburg TX 78624 · MLS #8680825
Listed at $625,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,751 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 29% under the local price per sq ft.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184637618/501-W-Creek-ST-Fredericksburg-TX
Upper quartile: $1,170,000 and up
405 Frederick RD, Fredericksburg TX 78624 · MLS #6531599
Listed at $1,950,000, 5 bed, 4 bath, 5,032 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 7% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187090492/405-Frederick-RD-Fredericksburg-TX
Key figures · Fredericksburg · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026
- 38 homes sold in Fredericksburg in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (up 18.8% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $577,500 (down 26.2% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $286.
- Median days on market: 60.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 93.9%.
- 67 homes for sale now, about 10.3 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, ABOR-listed sales only, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
What does a 7.24% mortgage rate mean for buying power in Fredericksburg today? With the median closed sale price at $577,500 across 38 transactions in the rolling six months ending September 30, 2026, monthly payments are significantly higher than they were when rates were lower. A buyer purchasing at this median with a 20% down payment faces a principal-and-interest payment of $3,149 per month at the current rate.
ALEX Intelligence modeled two common buydown scenarios to show how these costs shift affordability. A standard 3-2-1 buydown would reduce the interest rate in year one, cutting the monthly payment by $879 for that first year, but it requires an upfront cost of $21,444. A shorter 2-1 buydown offers a smaller reduction, with a total cost of $10,896. These figures assume a 30-year fixed loan and do not include taxes or insurance.
The data also shows that prices have softened compared to last year, with the median closing price down 26.2% from the same period twelve months ago. However, homes are taking longer to sell, with the median days on market rising to 60 days. Buyers using a buydown must weigh the immediate cash flow relief against the upfront cost, which represents 3.71% of the median sale price for the 3-2-1 option and 1.89% for the 2-1 option.
This analysis is based on ABOR-listed sales only and reflects market conditions as of late October 2026.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Coverage: most home sales in Fredericksburg are listed in the Central Hill Country MLS, which ALEX does not receive yet. The figures in this post count only sales listed in Unlock MLS (ABOR), so they describe part of the local market, not all of it.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS, ABOR-listed sales only; Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey, week of Oct 29, 2026
Cover photo: Willow City Loop, Gillespie County ("Fredericksburg in the Texas Hill Country") by David, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










