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Fredericksburg Entry-Level Homes: Can You Afford One?
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-22
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $422,000
5386 Ranch Road 1376 # 79, Fredericksburg TX 78624 · MLS #7235162
Listed at $415,000, 2 bed, 1 bath, 390 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 2% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1176920251/5386-Ranch-Road-1376-79-Fredericksburg-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $422,000 to $595,000
237 Dudley WAY, Fredericksburg TX 78624 · MLS #3424599
Listed at $440,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,648 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 17% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 2% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182960215/237-Dudley-WAY-Fredericksburg-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $595,000 to $1,170,000
501 W Creek ST, Fredericksburg TX 78624 · MLS #8680825
Listed at $625,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,751 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 29% under the local price per sq ft.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184637618/501-W-Creek-ST-Fredericksburg-TX
Upper quartile: $1,170,000 and up
405 Frederick RD, Fredericksburg TX 78624 · MLS #6531599
Listed at $1,950,000, 5 bed, 4 bath, 5,032 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 7% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187090492/405-Frederick-RD-Fredericksburg-TX
Key figures · Fredericksburg · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026
- 38 homes sold in Fredericksburg in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (up 18.8% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $577,500 (down 26.2% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $286.
- Median days on market: 60.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 93.9%.
- 69 homes for sale now, about 10.6 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, ABOR-listed sales only, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Can buyers afford entry-level homes in Fredericksburg today? The median price for the bottom quartile of sales is $577,500 across 38 closed sales in the rolling six months ending September 30, 2026. This figure represents the most affordable tier available in the market during this period.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed the current mortgage environment to determine buying power for these entry-level properties. With a 30-year fixed rate at 7.32% as of October 22, 2026 (source: Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey), a buyer making a 20% down payment on a $577,500 home faces a principal and interest payment of $3,174 per month.
The data shows that affordability is sensitive to rate fluctuations. A 3-2-1 buydown would reduce the first-year rate to 4.32%, lowering the monthly payment to $2,292 and saving $882 per month initially, though the total cost of this buydown is $21,516. Alternatively, a 2-1 buydown would start at a 5.32% rate with a $2,571 monthly payment, costing $10,932 in total.
These figures highlight that while entry-level inventory exists, the cost of financing significantly impacts the monthly commitment required to purchase a home in this price range. The median living area for these sales is 1,870 square feet, with a median price per square foot of $286.
The market has seen a 13.8% decrease in median entry-level prices compared to the prior six-month period, yet days on market have increased by 22.4% year-over-year, suggesting buyers have more time to evaluate options at this price point.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Coverage: most home sales in Fredericksburg are listed in the Central Hill Country MLS, which ALEX does not receive yet. The figures in this post count only sales listed in Unlock MLS (ABOR), so they describe part of the local market, not all of it.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS, ABOR-listed sales only, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=38
Cover photo: Willow City Loop, Gillespie County ("Fredericksburg in the Texas Hill Country") by David, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










