Fredericksburg Inventory Signals a Buyer's Market

How many months of inventory does it take to shift power from sellers to buyers? In Fredericksburg, the answer is now 10.62 months. This figure represents the time required to sell all current active listings at the current sales pace, calculated by dividing the 69 homes currently for sale by the average monthly closings of roughly 6.5 homes over the trailing six-month window. According to standard market classification gauges, a reading above six months indicates a buyer's market. The data confirms this dynamic: with 10.62 months of inventory available, buyers have significant leverage compared to the same period last year or even the prior six months. This surplus of supply has contributed to a median close price of $577,500, which is down 13.8% from the prior six-month period and 26.2% lower than the same window in 2025. The extended time on market further supports this assessment. Homes are taking a median of 60 days to sell, which is 22.4% longer than the same period last year, though still slightly faster than the prior six-month average. Additionally, 84.2% of closed sales sold below their original list price, reinforcing that negotiation power has shifted toward purchasers. ALEX Intelligence estimates this inventory level based on 38 closed sales in the rolling six-month window ending September 30, 2026. While the market remains active with new listings arriving, the current balance of supply and demand favors those looking to purchase. Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing. Coverage: most home sales in Fredericksburg are listed in the Central Hill Country MLS, which ALEX does not receive yet. The figures in this post count only sales listed in Unlock MLS (ABOR), so they describe part of the local market, not all of it. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog