Fredericksburg Market Pulse: Sales Drop and Prices Fall in Rolling Six Months

Deal of the Week

Deal of the Week · 129 Alameda DR, Fredericksburg TX 78624 · MLS #9274710 · Listed by Keller Williams City-View. ALEX valuation $266,000 is an ALEX Intelligence estimate, not an appraisal.

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $422,000 129 Alameda DR, Fredericksburg TX 78624 · MLS #9274710 Listed at $269,900, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,167 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1180546251/129-Alameda-DR-Fredericksburg-TX Lower-middle quartile: $422,000 to $595,000 162 Teal ST, Fredericksburg TX 78624 · MLS #5732042 Listed at $517,500, 5 bed, 3 bath, 2,594 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 38% under the local price per sq ft. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182519617/162-Teal-ST-Fredericksburg-TX Upper-middle quartile: $595,000 to $1,170,000 2143 Stone Oak, Fredericksburg TX 78624 · MLS #6406024 Listed at $1,050,000, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,996 sq ft. Listed 0% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 8% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182587983/2143-Stone-Oak-Fredericksburg-TX Upper quartile: $1,170,000 and up 502 N Orange ST, Fredericksburg TX 78624 · MLS #6435110 Listed at $1,249,900, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,567 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 9% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182516661/502-N-Orange-ST-Fredericksburg-TX

Key figures · Fredericksburg · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026

38 homes sold in Fredericksburg in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (up 18.8% on a year earlier).

Median sale price: $577,500 (down 26.2% on a year earlier).

Median price per square foot: $286.

Median days on market: 60.

Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 93.9%.

68 homes for sale now, about 10.5 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.

Source: Unlock MLS, ABOR-listed sales only, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Fredericksburg home prices have cooled significantly over the last half-year. The median closed sale price dropped to $577,500, down 13.8% from the prior six-month period and 26.2% lower than the same window a year ago. This decline occurred alongside a 13.8% drop in sales volume, with 38 homes closing compared to 27 in the previous period and 32 twelve months prior. The speed of sales has also shifted. Homes spent an average of 60 days on market, which is 18.9% faster than the prior six-month window but still 22.4% longer than a year ago when properties sold in just 49 days. Buyers are negotiating harder; the median close-to-original list ratio stands at 0.939, meaning homes sold for roughly 6% below their original asking price on average. This is an improvement of 1.7% compared to the prior period but remains 2.3% lower than the same time last year. Price per square foot has also retreated, falling 18.5% from the prior six months to $286 and dropping 32.9% year-over-year. The market is currently holding 10.46 months of inventory, a level that suggests a distinct shift toward buyer leverage compared to the tighter conditions seen previously. ALEX Intelligence analyzed these figures using a rolling six-month window to smooth out monthly volatility and provide a clearer view of current trends in this partial ABOR coverage area. The data reflects 38 closed sales where the median living area was 1,870 square feet. Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Coverage: most home sales in Fredericksburg are listed in the Central Hill Country MLS, which ALEX does not receive yet. The figures in this post count only sales listed in Unlock MLS (ABOR), so they describe part of the local market, not all of it. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker. George Arnold Alexander III, MPA Partner, ALEX Companies Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al. Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733 Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456 [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951