| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
| Partner, ALEX Companies |
| Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC |
| Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL |
| [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951 |
| TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice |
Lockhart Market Heat Score: A Balanced Shift in October
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-12
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $220,000
803 Third ST, Lockhart TX 78644 · MLS #6522170
Listed at $140,000, 3 bed, 1 bath, 1,176 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 27% under the local price per sq ft.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182933863/803-Third-ST-Lockhart-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $220,000 to $275,000
2316 Windrow LN, Lockhart TX 78644 · MLS #8473182
Listed at $251,999, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,850 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 6% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1189302359/2316-Windrow-LN-Lockhart-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $275,000 to $395,000
3921 Wishing Well DR, Lockhart TX 78644 · MLS #8672472
Listed at $349,900, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,410 sq ft. Listed 12% below the ALEX valuation; 19% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 18% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1189618894/3921-Wishing-Well-DR-Lockhart-TX
Upper quartile: $395,000 and up
242 Melody RD, Lockhart TX 78644 · MLS #5152644
Listed at $474,900, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,600 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 14% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1176400305/242-Melody-RD-Lockhart-TX
Key figures · Lockhart · October 2026
- 23 homes sold in Lockhart in October 2026 (up 64.3% on a year earlier).
- Median net sale price: $329,800 (up 36.0% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $166.
- Median days on market: 73.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 85.6%.
- 120 homes for sale now, about 5.2 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, October 2026. Single-family homes; prices net of seller-paid concessions, the same figures as the ALEX market statistics pages. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
What does the current market balance look like for buyers and sellers in Lockhart? This composite index blends four key metrics to gauge whether the local market favors buyers, sellers, or remains balanced.
ALEX Intelligence calculated this score using data from October 2026, analyzing 23 closed sales. The calculation weighs median days on market, the close-to-list price ratio, inventory levels, and the share of listings with price cuts. In Lockhart, the median home sold for $329,800, which is 36% higher than the same month last year, yet properties stayed on the market for a median of 73 days.
The score reflects a shift toward balance. While prices have surged significantly compared to October 2025, the 73-day median time on market indicates that homes are not selling as quickly as they did in the previous year. Additionally, 87% of closed sales were below their original list price, and inventory levels suggest roughly 5.18 months of supply. These factors combined with a close-to-list ratio of 85.6% pull the heat score down from a seller-favorable range into a balanced zone.
For buyers, this suggests there is room for negotiation compared to a hot market, while sellers must price realistically to compete in an environment where nearly nine out of ten homes sell below asking. The data shows a market that is active but cooling slightly in terms of speed, even as values continue to climb.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, October 2026, n=23
Cover photo: Downtown Lockhart by Reading Associate 17, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov








