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Lockhart Inventory: Is It a Buyer's Market?
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-31
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $220,000
523 S Rio Grande ST, Lockhart TX 78644 · MLS #2433542
Listed at $105,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,103 sq ft. Listed 23% below the ALEX valuation; 41% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 29% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1190395875/523-S-Rio-Grande-ST-Lockhart-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $220,000 to $270,000
1412 HAVELOCK WAY, Lockhart TX 78644 · MLS #8242408
Listed at $255,000, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,680 sq ft. Listed 12% below the ALEX valuation; 6% under the local price per sq ft.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1189911948/1412-HAVELOCK-WAY-Lockhart-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $270,000 to $390,000
2029 Applewood DR, Lockhart TX 78644 · MLS #4578111
Listed at $273,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,489 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 11% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1178620941/2029-Applewood-DR-Lockhart-TX
Upper quartile: $390,000 and up
100 Mayfield LN, Lockhart TX 78644 · MLS #1911584
Listed at $1,650,000, 5 bed, 4.5 bath, 4,282 sq ft. Listed 6% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 3% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1179826129/100-Mayfield-LN-Lockhart-TX
Key figures · Lockhart · September 2026
- 17 homes sold in Lockhart in September 2026 (down 43.3% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $359,900 (up 15.2% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $165.
- Median days on market: 95.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 86.8%.
- 132 homes for sale now, about 5.5 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, September 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Is the Lockhart market tipping toward buyers or sellers? The answer lies in the months of inventory figure, which measures how long it would take to sell all current listings at the current sales pace. In September 2026, Lockhart held 5.5 months of inventory based on 17 closed sales and 132 active listings.
This figure places the market in a balanced zone, though leaning slightly toward buyers compared to the tight conditions seen earlier in the year. A market with less than six months of inventory is typically considered a seller's market, while more than six months favors buyers. At 5.5 months, sellers still face competition, but buyers have gained more leverage than they had when sales were faster and prices lower.
Median closed prices rose 28.5% from the prior month to $359,900, a 15.2% increase compared to September 2026. However, homes took significantly longer to sell, with median days on market jumping 126.2% to 95 days. The ratio of final sale price to original list price also dropped to 86.8%, indicating that buyers are negotiating more effectively than in previous months.
ALEX Intelligence classifies this inventory level as a balanced market where neither side holds absolute dominance, but the extended time on market suggests buyers can afford to be selective. With 17 closed sales providing the data point, this snapshot reflects a distinct shift from the rapid turnover seen earlier in the year.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, September 2026, n=17
Cover photo: Downtown Lockhart by Reading Associate 17, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov









