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Lockhart: How List Prices Compare to Final Sells in September
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-30
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $220,000
523 S Rio Grande ST, Lockhart TX 78644 · MLS #2433542
Listed at $105,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,103 sq ft. Listed 23% below the ALEX valuation; 41% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 29% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1190395875/523-S-Rio-Grande-ST-Lockhart-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $220,000 to $270,000
1412 HAVELOCK WAY, Lockhart TX 78644 · MLS #8242408
Listed at $255,000, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,680 sq ft. Listed 12% below the ALEX valuation; 6% under the local price per sq ft.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1189911948/1412-HAVELOCK-WAY-Lockhart-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $270,000 to $390,000
2029 Applewood DR, Lockhart TX 78644 · MLS #4578111
Listed at $273,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,489 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 11% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1178620941/2029-Applewood-DR-Lockhart-TX
Upper quartile: $390,000 and up
100 Mayfield LN, Lockhart TX 78644 · MLS #1911584
Listed at $1,650,000, 5 bed, 4.5 bath, 4,282 sq ft. Listed 6% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 3% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1179826129/100-Mayfield-LN-Lockhart-TX
Key figures · Lockhart · September 2026
- 17 homes sold in Lockhart in September 2026 (down 43.3% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $359,900 (up 15.2% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $165.
- Median days on market: 95.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 86.8%.
- 133 homes for sale now, about 5.5 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, September 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
What does a median close-to-original-list ratio of 0.868 mean for buyers and sellers in Lockhart? In September, the median home sold for $359,900, which represents 86.8% of the original list price across 17 closed sales. This metric, known as the list-to-sale ratio, reveals how much negotiation power exists in the market at any given time.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed the relationship between original asking prices and final contract values to determine this trend. The data shows that while the median price rose 28.5% from August, the ability of sellers to command their full list price has diminished compared to the prior month. In September, 94.1% of homes sold below their original list price, a significant increase from the 88% seen in August.
The average home size also grew, with median living area reaching 1,984 square feet, up 14.5% from the previous month. However, the time required to sell increased sharply, with homes spending a median of 95 days on market compared to just 42 days in August. This suggests that while prices are higher, sellers may need to price more aggressively or wait longer to close a deal.
Compared to September 2025, the list-to-sale ratio dropped by 6.3 percentage points, indicating a shift toward buyer leverage. The median price per square foot remained stable at $165, suggesting that the overall price increase is driven by larger homes rather than higher unit costs. For sellers, this data underscores the importance of realistic initial pricing to avoid extended market time.
For buyers, the current ratio indicates room for negotiation, though the rising median price suggests competition remains for well-priced inventory. The market continues to show signs of adjustment as inventory levels and buyer demand evolve in the fall season.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, September 2026, n=17
Cover photo: Downtown Lockhart by Reading Associate 17, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov









