Lockhart: How List Prices Compare to Final Sales in September

Deal of the Week

1111 Silent Valley RD, Lockhart TX 78644
This week's 5 best values under $1,000,000, ranked by the ALEX deal score: 1. 1111 Silent Valley RD, Lockhart TX 78644 · MLS #1970731 Listed at $155,000, 4 bed, 3 bath, 1,979 sq ft. Listed 9% below the ALEX valuation; 52% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 11% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184981064/1111-Silent-Valley-RD-Lockhart-TX 2. 313 Melody RD, Lockhart TX 78644 · MLS #9901761 Listed at $440,900, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,797 sq ft. Listed 9% below the ALEX valuation; 13% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 16% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183372153/313-Melody-RD-Lockhart-TX 3. 218 Summit DR, Lockhart TX 78644 · MLS #8748754 Listed at $319,990, 5 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,556 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; 29% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 9% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1175325046/218-Summit-DR-Lockhart-TX 4. 314 Foxfire CV, Lockhart TX 78644 · MLS #7573686 Listed at $419,900, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,529 sq ft. Listed 10% below the ALEX valuation; 9% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 16% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182519466/314-Foxfire-CV-Lockhart-TX 5. 402 Trinity ST, Lockhart TX 78644 · MLS #4052048 Listed at $249,800, 4 bed, 2 bath, 2,800 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; 45% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 9% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1177970389/402-Trinity-ST-Lockhart-TX
In Lockhart, the gap between asking price and final sale price widened significantly in September. Sellers accepted an average of 86.6% of their original list price for the 14 homes that closed this month. This represents a 7.5% drop from the 93.6% ratio recorded in August, when sellers captured nearly full value on most transactions. The ALEX Intelligence analysis tracks the median close-to-original list ratio to show how negotiation power shifts between buyers and sellers. In September, every single home that closed sold for less than its original asking price, compared to 88% of homes in August. This shift coincides with a 21.9% jump in median sale prices to $341,200, suggesting that while values are rising, buyers are successfully negotiating down from higher initial asks. Compared to the same month last year, the ratio is down 6.5%, indicating a continued trend toward more aggressive price reductions or stronger buyer leverage. The median days on market also stretched by 119% to 92 days, giving buyers more time to evaluate properties before making offers. While prices are up 9.2% year-over-year, the data shows that achieving top dollar requires careful pricing strategy from the start. The sample size for this analysis covers 14 closed sales in September 2026. These figures reflect actual transaction outcomes rather than listing intentions. Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker. George Arnold Alexander III, MPA Partner, ALEX Companies Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al. Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733 Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456 [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, September 2026, n=14
Cover photo: Downtown Lockhart by Reading Associate 17, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
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Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov